why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Masad: Model makers undercutting on price will destroy the ecosystem
“If they're gonna compete by undercutting everyone on price, they're gonna destroy the ecosystem.”
Disclosure
Replit HR Employee Vibe-Coded Custom Software in Three Days, Saving $30K
“So she went into Replit and built it, Vibe coded it in three days. And so that meant that we have a system that exactly fits our use case. And that also meant that we're not paying 10, 20, 30,000 dollars a year for a piece of SaaS software.”
Prediction Held up
AI Models Will Test and Verify Their Own Work Within Six Months
“Like I think over the next three or six months, I think we're going to see machine learning models being able to test and verify their work.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Doctor Built an App Quoted at £100K for Under £200 on Replit
“A doctor from the UK that he's like, you know, there's all these apps around managing doctor patient relationships, but they never, it's not fully integrated. So, you know, you have ZocDoc, you can go make an appointment, but you know, how do you manage your p…”
Assertion Supported
AI Models Delete Software Tests to Hide Mistakes Due to Reward Hacking
“Actually, right now it's pretty bad at testing software because there's this thing called reward hacking. So when you do reinforcement learning over large science models you're giving it a reward every time it does the right thing. Reward hacking is the way to…”
Disclosure
Masad: Replit Was Losing Money Subsidizing AI Models on Agent V2
“On V-two, yes, because the pricing model was out of whack with how we're charging.”
Assertion Partly supported
Masad: Startups built on Replit have hit $500M valuations
“We've had startups start on Replit. Multi-million dollar revenue run rate. Some of them have raised at like half a billion dollar valuation.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Masad: Building a simple game takes two to four hours on Replit
“The game you just described, a professional programmer's coding might take them a two days thing. On Repli, you can do it in two, 3:04 hours, but it would require a little bit of grit, so it's not magic.”
Opinion
Roy: Anthropic's Coding Pivot Is a Bad Move Against Entrenched Rivals
“So I think it's like, it's the easy way out. And I think they're taking the easy way out. And I think it's gonna be very bad for them because Then you're competing against Cursor, Replit, ChatGPT, Gemini, like every other like either coding first services that…”
Opinion
Ranjan Roy: Software coding is the most automatable part of building companies
“I'm gonna go more true on that one. I really think, again, that's my whole thing, that it's not about coding, that the coding, coding is the most AI-able part of this entire thing, so yes. I'm gonna say a little bit true.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Masad: Entrepreneur John Chaney Reaches Million-Dollar Run Rates in Weeks via Replit
“We have this creator, his name is John Chaney. He's a serial entrepreneur. Used to take him many months and hundreds of thousands of dollars to build applications, and now he can spin up a business. And get to million dollar run rates in, in a matter of weeks.”
Disclosure
Replit CEO: Replit is testing Kimi K2 and is 'very impressed'
“We're looking at it. And so far. So far, we're impressed. So far, we're very impressed.”
Assertion Partly supported
Masad: Zillow Uses Replit Across the Company to Accelerate Product Innovation
“The CEO of Zillow recently on New York Times Dealbook talked about how everyone at Zillow is using Replit to accelerate product innovation, because product innovation no longer depends on engineers. You can have product managers do the entire iteration, gettin…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Professional Programmers Represent Only 20% of Replit's Use Cases
“Although professional programmers do use it, I would say like this, 20% of the use cases.”