why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Mager: Precision reached human implants in two years versus Neuralink's eight
“So we did our first Patient implant within two years of founding, you know, took Neuralink eight years. It's taken other competitors even longer than that.”
Prediction Partly held up
Kantrowitz predicts dozens of Neuralink patients will receive implants in 2025
“I think 20, 25 is going to be the year of the brain computer interface. I think we could end up seeing dozens of Neuralink patients in 20, 25.”
Assertion Supported
Arbaugh: Neural interfaces are already writing to the brain through Blindsight
“I'm saying it's already happening. When you think of blind sight, that's exactly what they're doing. They're sending signals into the visual cortex and letting blind people see. Like, that is riding on the brain.”
Assertion Supported
Swisher: There are 10 companies working on brain tech like Neuralink
“Well, no, let me just tell you, there are 10 companies like Neuralink. He's not the only one.”
Assertion Supported
Newton: Some sensors inside first Neuralink patient's implant went dark
“Even when we were talking to Nolan, some of the sensors inside the Neuralink had sort of already gone dark.”
Assertion Supported
Neuralink Fixed Cursor Control by Registering Neuron Groups Over Single Spikes
“They figured it out on the software side. Instead of registering sort of like single neuron spikes, they were registering groups of neurons.”
Assertion Supported
Arbaugh: Only 15% of Neuralink Electrodes Remain in Place in His Brain
“So I don't know if with my threat of attraction, because I have, they said, 15% of the electrodes are still in place of my brain, plus or -10%.”
Assertion Supported
Arbaugh: Neuralink implant contains 64 threads and 1,024 electrodes
“There are 64 threads with 16 electrodes on each thread totaling a 1024 electrodes in all, and they are implanted in the part of my motor cortex specifically correlated to right hand movement because I did what's called an fMRI, a functional MRI, That showed my…”
Assertion Supported
Arbaugh: Motor cortex neurons still fire during attempted movement despite paralysis
“When I was able to see my neurons firing for the first time, it really made me kind of emotional thinking that You know, when I move my index finger, there are still, like, neuron spikes, neurons firing in my brain. It's really just my spinal cord”
Assertion Supported
Mager: Dr. Ben Rapoport co-founded Neuralink with Elon Musk
“Ben was also one of the co-founders of Neuralink with Elon Musk and several others and left to approach this technology in a different way for reasons that we'll get into.”