The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 27 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Mager: Precision reached human implants in two years versus Neuralink's eight
“So we did our first Patient implant within two years of founding, you know, took Neuralink eight years. It's taken other competitors even longer than that.”
Kantrowitz predicts dozens of Neuralink patients will receive implants in 2025
“I think 20, 25 is going to be the year of the brain computer interface. I think we could end up seeing dozens of Neuralink patients in 20, 25.”
Arbaugh predicts esports leagues will ban or segregate Neuralink users
“I don't believe It will be allowed in like certain gaming platforms and things for like major league gaming. I think they're going to have to separate it. Either everyone's going to have to have one, or you're going to have to understand that other people have…”
Arbaugh: Neuralink can execute movements before user consciously decides to move
“So sometimes when I want to say click or I want to move, the implant will Understand my intent and move before I even decide to move, basically.”
Arbaugh: People will get neural implants to surpass unenhanced human capabilities
“So it's not there yet, but I know that when this technology like really lands and they get everything figured out, yeah, it's, there, there's no doubt in my mind that people will want it in order to surpass, you know, what regulars are capable of.”
Arbaugh Predicts He Will Die Before His Neuralink Chip Does
“I have seen The data and the study about it being in monkeys for long periods of time, and, you know, the stress testing that they do to these devices to see how long they'll last, I think that I will die before the Neuralink chip does.”
Arbaugh Says His Neuralink Brain Implant Is Hackable via Bluetooth
“The device, my device is hackable. You'd have to find some way in, like through a Bluetooth signal, and you would be able to maybe control my cursor on a screen to be able to hack my neuron spikes in the brain signals and maybe, like, decode that to see what I…”
Hodak: Neural engineering produces therapeutic effect sizes unseen in conventional medicine
“One of the reasons that I like the neural engineering approach is it produces these very large effect sizes. Like, cochlear implants, really, if you are deaf due to sensorineural hearing loss, they really work. Or if you've ever seen a video of a Parkinson's p…”
Arbaugh: Neuralink reduces text messaging time from minutes to seconds
“Being able to send a text in a few seconds instead of a text taking five, 10, 15 minutes sometimes to craft because of how bad dictation is. I mean, it's terrible. There's so much that I'm able to accomplish with a computer now that I was never able to do befo…”
Arbaugh Says Simulating Drug Effects Via Neural Interfaces Is Feasible
“I definitely think it's feasible.”
Arbaugh: BCIs will let programmers directly input complex code and thoughts
“If you can do that with a letter, you can do it with a word. If you can do it with a word, you can do it with a sentence. You can do it with a sentence. Maybe you could do it with whole strings of sentences, of code, of like complex ideas. I don't think we're …”
Arbaugh: Neural interfaces are already writing to the brain through Blindsight
“I'm saying it's already happening. When you think of blind sight, that's exactly what they're doing. They're sending signals into the visual cortex and letting blind people see. Like, that is riding on the brain.”
Swisher: There are 10 companies working on brain tech like Neuralink
“Well, no, let me just tell you, there are 10 companies like Neuralink. He's not the only one.”
Alex Kantrowitz Lost a Video Game to Neuralink Patient Nolan Arbaugh
“I did meet the first
Neuralink patient, Nolan Arbaugh.
And we played a video game against each other.
he's quadriplegic, so he can't use a computer with his hands but he was able to think on the screen and the cursor would move and click.
And he beat me in th…”
Newton: Some sensors inside first Neuralink patient's implant went dark
“Even when we were talking to Nolan, some of the sensors inside the Neuralink had sort of already gone dark.”
Neuralink Fixed Cursor Control by Registering Neuron Groups Over Single Spikes
“They figured it out on the software side. Instead of registering sort of like single neuron spikes, they were registering groups of neurons.”
Arbaugh: Safety rules barred charging Neuralink implant for first 10 days
“So for the first 10 days, they weren't allowed to charge my implant because of safety regulations. They had to make sure that it was safe in my brain first, that it kind of stabilized, that the temperature range was okay, and so they weren't allowed to charge …”
Arbaugh: Only 15% of Neuralink Electrodes Remain in Place in His Brain
“So I don't know if with my threat of attraction, because I have, they said, 15% of the electrodes are still in place of my brain, plus or -10%.”
Arbaugh: Brain pulsed three millimeters per heartbeat, tripling Neuralink's expectation
“They thought that the brain moved like a millimeter when it pulsed, and mine was moving three millimeters every time it pulsed.”
Arbaugh Accepted First Implant to Protect Others From Potential Harm
“I knew that I would feel absolutely terrible, and I would never forgive myself if I passed it up, and someone else was hurt, or injured or had to go through something terrible, because I decided to pass it up. I knew that I wouldn't ever want to do that, so I …”
Arbaugh: Neuralink implant contains 64 threads and 1,024 electrodes
“There are 64 threads with 16 electrodes on each thread totaling a 1024 electrodes in all, and they are implanted in the part of my motor cortex specifically correlated to right hand movement because I did what's called an fMRI, a functional MRI, That showed my…”
Arbaugh: Neuralink detected index finger movement signals hours post-surgery
“I was like attempting to move my finger, and I saw this big yellow spike every time, and I was like, oh, that's cool. And everyone was like, what? Like, what are you doing? And I told them, I was like, look at the third box on the top. Right now. And now. And …”
Arbaugh: Neuralink will be able to control all Bluetooth-enabled devices
“Basically every device that you can think of that uses Bluetooth
You'll be able to control with the Neuralink.”
Arbaugh: Motor cortex neurons still fire during attempted movement despite paralysis
“When I was able to see my neurons firing for the first time, it really made me kind of emotional thinking that You know, when I move my index finger, there are still, like, neuron spikes, neurons firing in my brain. It's really just my spinal cord”
Mager: Dr. Ben Rapoport co-founded Neuralink with Elon Musk
“Ben was also one of the co-founders of Neuralink with Elon Musk and several others and left to approach this technology in a different way for reasons that we'll get into.”
Arbaugh: Neuralink implant surgery took under two hours
“The surgery was supposed to last between, like, three to six hours. It lasted under two.”
Arbaugh: Neuralink's robot completed implant surgery using only one needle
“That tiny dancer went straight to work and they brought like 20 needles to replace the needles because they didn't know if it would be able to Survive the whole surgery or if it would like break or anything of that sort. One needle did it.”