The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Suleyman: Microsoft's OpenAI partnership will last through 2030 and beyond
“Whilst we have a incredibly deep partnership with them, which is going to last way through 20, 30 and beyond,”
Mustafa Suleyman Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 41:12 Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman: Building AI Personality
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
Microsoft's diagnostic AI will perform better on common primary care conditions
“So if, so clearly by virtue of the fact that there are more cancers, more diabetes, you know, more weight loss questions, more, you know, knee pain than any of these long tail conditions, the model is almost certainly going to do better in those primary care t…”
Mustafa Suleyman Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 14:53 Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman: Our AI Doctor Outperforms Human Diagnosticians
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