The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Kalshi suspended three congressional candidates for trading on their own campaigns
“It was a few weeks ago, Calci said it suspended one U.S. Senate candidate and two candidates for the House of Representatives for political insider trading.”
Ranjan Roy May 4, 2026 ▶ 50:28 OpenAI’s User Growth Miss, Musk vs. Altman In Court, Prediction Market Ban
Assertion Supported
CNN partners with Kalshi to integrate prediction market data into journalism
“CNN has struck a partnership with Kalshi, the world's largest global prediction market company, bringing Kalshi's data to its journalism across television, digital, and social channels.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 55:45 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Prediction markets will cause life-destroying harm comparable to sports gambling
“I think we've already seen some of the dangers of sports gambling and how it's really destroying people's lives. And I think that you're going to see that again here.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 56:38 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
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