The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: ChatGPT Mobile Market Share Fell to 45.3% in January 2026
“OpenAI's, ChatGPT's market share has dropped from 69% in January, this is according to Apptopia, from 69% in January, twenty-twenty-five to 45.3% in January, 26. Now it is growing, but in that same time, ah, let's see, Gemini has gone from 14.7% chatbot market…”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 45:01 Software In Shambles, OpenAI vs. Anthropic Super Brawl, Amazon’s Struggles
Assertion Supported
Grok's system prompt suffered an unauthorized change on May 14, xAI says
“It was on May 14th at approximately 3:15 a.m. Pacific Standard Time, an unauthorized modification was made to the Grok response. Bots prompt on X.”
Ranjan Roy May 19, 2025 ▶ 14:30 Is ChatGPT The Last Website?, Grok’s System Prompt, Meta’s llama Fiasco
Assertion Supported
Grok's U.S. mobile chatbot daily active user share jumped to 15.2%
“Grok, one percent, 1.6% market share among U.S. Daily active users of chatbots in January, 20, 25. A year later, it's at 15.2%. It's the fastest growing chatbot in the US as far as daily active users on mobile goes.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 49:03 Is Something Big Happening?, AI Safety Apocalypse, Anthropic Raises $30 Billion
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Grok ranks number two on Chatbot Arena behind Gemini 3 Pro
“And again, like rock is now number two on LM arena after Gemini three pro.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 52:36 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
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