The Ledger
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why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
If AI scaling stalls, it will likely be due to data memorization
“If, let's say, GPT-Six isn't that much better than GPT-Four, and you had to look back on it and say, like, why, why did that happen? I think the most, the thing I'd expect to say is that right now we are We are kind of fooled by how much data these models cons…”