The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2030
Demis Hassabis predicts AGI is three to five years away
“I think you know, I would say probably like three to five years away.”
Demis Hassabis Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 2:37 Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis: The Path To AGI, Deceptive AIs, Building a Virtual Cell
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2030
Demis Hassabis predicts a virtual cell AI model will take five years
“I think that would be like maybe five years from now. Yeah. So I have a kind of five year project and a lot of the alpha fold, the old alpha fold team are working on that.”
Demis Hassabis Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 42:44 Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis: The Path To AGI, Deceptive AIs, Building a Virtual Cell
Assertion Open · timeframe Nov 2025
Kantrowitz: Hundreds of Google Search engineers were reassigned to Google DeepMind
“Just one example I got from the story, hundreds of engineers from search, which is the most important product. At Google, which is responsible for more than half the revenue. Hundreds of engineers went from search to Google DeepMind just to, you know, give you…”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 20:15 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
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