The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Doshi: Search engine traffic will drop over 25% before 2026
“I mean, I think there's a very high probability it is greater than that number in a shorter span of time.”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 44:38 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: 40% of IT managers delayed Copilot due to security fears
“In the Gartner survey, 40% of IT managers said their company has delayed implementing the tool for at least three months, citing oversharing and security concerns.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2024 ▶ 41:15 OpenAI Builds A Browser, Microsoft Copilot’s Struggles, Jaguar Rebrand
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Only 4 of 123 surveyed IT leaders saw major Copilot value
“In October, when the management consultancy Gartner published a survey of 123 IT leaders, only four said co-pilot provided significant value to their companies.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2024 ▶ 34:10 OpenAI Builds A Browser, Microsoft Copilot’s Struggles, Jaguar Rebrand
Assertion Partly supported
Gartner expects enterprise AI revenue to reach $37.5B in 2026
“It's expected, according to Gartner, to bring in 37.5 billion dollars in revenue next year. Enterprise AI. That's up from zero in 2022 or effectively zero in 2022.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 17, 2025 ▶ 3:27 OpenAI’s 2026 Priority, Disney’s AI Play, Datacenter Buildout Trouble
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