The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Patel: Frontier AI cluster costs have scaled from $100M to $10B
“For GPT-IV, it was a few hundred million dollars and it's one building full of GPUs, too. GPT-IV 4.5 and the reasoning models, like, oh, one, oh, three were done in a, in three buildings on the same site, and, you know, billions of dollars to, hey, these next …”
Dylan Patel Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 31:54 Generative AI 101: Tokens, Pre-training, Fine-tuning, Reasoning — With SemiAnalysis CEO Dylan Patel
Assertion Contradicted
OpenAI hasn't signed a compute contract for the Abilene data center
“OpenAI, according to the information, hasn't even signed a contract for the compute in, in Abilene.”
Ed Zitron Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 10:39 Are AI's Economics Unsustainable? — With Ed Zitron
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