The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Kantrowitz: Grammarly will go extinct as LLMs replace grammar tools
“And here's my hot take on Grammarly. I think they're going to go extinct. I think I wouldn't call them a rapper because they were around before large language models, but all this logic that they painstakingly built into their program and all the AI developmen…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 38:08 Mass AI-Driven Unemployment, NVIDIA Surges, CEOs' AI Avatars Unleashed
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Altman: ChatGPT's Market Lead Will Increase Over Time
“ChatGPT is still by far the dominant chatbot in the market, and I expect that lead to increase, not decrease over time.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 2:43 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Kantrowitz: AI chatbots will directly manage trading strategies and bank funds
“The second you start researching stocks in ChatGPT, we're going to get to a place where ChatGPT or Claude will offer to build a strategy for you. We'll have access to your bank account. We'll ask if you want to portion some money towards, you know, giving this…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 49:22 Warning Signs For The AI Boom, Anthropic Passes OpenAI, Robinhood’s AI Trading
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Kantrowitz: ChatGPT will reach one billion users by OpenAI's IPO
“Its own proprietary, eight hundred million user app, which will definitely be a billion by IPO day.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 28:44 OpenAI’s IPO Plan, Deconstructing The AI Bet, Apple’s iPhone 17 Revival
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