The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Scaramucci: Bitcoin will reach $1 million per coin
“I think it becomes an asset class. I think it's a million dollars a coin, and I have a 20,000 dollar cost basis in it, and I'm going to hold it.”
Anthony Scaramucci Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 1:01:29 Anthony Scaramucci: Elon Musk’s Trump Exit, Tim Cook’s Tariff Problem
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Scaramucci: US will probably hold Bitcoin on its fiscal balance sheet
“We'll probably end up having Bitcoin on the corporate, on the fiscal balance sheet of the United States.”
Anthony Scaramucci Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 59:46 Anthony Scaramucci: Elon Musk’s Trump Exit, Tim Cook’s Tariff Problem
Opinion
Scaramucci advises buying Bitcoin amid rising US deficit spending
“Well, first thing I'm going to say is buy Bitcoin. That's the first thing I'm going to say. And a lot of people that really analyze and study this understand why.”
Anthony Scaramucci Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 30:41 Anthony Scaramucci: Elon Musk’s Trump Exit, Tim Cook’s Tariff Problem
Opinion
Scaringe: The US power grid cannot simultaneously sustain EV, AI, and crypto
“Is our grid in good enough shape to sustain all these at once? RJ Scaringe: Absolutely not. No, no. It's I mean, that's the thing that makes this such a unique moment in time.”
RJ Scaringe Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 35:59 Rivian's CEO on Elon Musk's Influence, Affordable EVs, and The Grid's Risky Future — W/ RJ Scaringe
Opinion
Vlad Tenev: Bitcoin requires legacy financial system integration to survive long term
“I think to some extent, like in order for it to be successful, like having a you know, having, having a regulated framework behind it and having sort of like acceptance and integration into the legacy financial system is going to be a prerequisite. On the othe…”
Vlad Tenev Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 43:01 Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev on Dumb Money, Day Trading, and Retirement
Opinion
Sorkin: MicroStrategy has turned into a leveraged Bitcoin fund
“Michael Saylor at MicroStrategy. He's now effectively raising money from public investors in taking out loans. This is like a, his company's turned into a leveraged, basically a leveraged Bitcoin fund is effectively what it is.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Jun 16, 2021 ▶ 24:31 Andrew Ross Sorkin on Meme Stocks, Bitcoin, SPACs, and Elon Musk
Opinion
Siemiatkowski: Bitcoin and blockchain failed to solve real consumer problems
“When, like, when Bitcoin came along and these technologies, like, I tried that as well. I personally didn't find the technology to solve a real problem. In my opinion, I didn't see how it was gonna help my mom prefer using Klarna Over something else. Like, I m…”
Sebastian Siemiatkowski Jul 17, 2024 ▶ 40:17 Did Klarna Really Automate 700 Jobs With AI? — With Sebastian Siemiatkowski
Opinion
Wood: Bitcoiners skeptical of Web3 focus too much on NFT hype
“I suspect that the Bitcoin people that are not super keen on the web three people are probably just on the web three movement. Maybe Think of it a little too much in terms of the you know, the NFT hype stuff, rather than the underlying let's say social and tec…”
Gavin Wood May 26, 2022 ▶ 24:15 Ethereum Co-Founder Gavin Wood On What Web3 Is Actually Good For
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sorkin doubts Bitcoin will remain uncorrelated when liquidity stops
“There's a lot of money floating around, and the question is, when the music stops, and the music will stop, is Bitcoin somehow completely not correlated to all, to everything else? I have a hard time believing that”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Jun 16, 2021 ▶ 24:58 Andrew Ross Sorkin on Meme Stocks, Bitcoin, SPACs, and Elon Musk
Assertion Supported
Wood: Blockchains like Bitcoin and Ethereum do not inherently protect privacy
“Blockchain, broadly speaking is a very transparent system. It doesn't help users keep hold of their data right of itself, right? Everything on Bitcoin is on them. It's a public ledger. You can see all the transactions that happen. Same with Ethereum.”
Gavin Wood May 26, 2022 ▶ 20:19 Ethereum Co-Founder Gavin Wood On What Web3 Is Actually Good For
Opinion
Wood: Web3 and Bitcoin communities share fundamental societal improvement goals
“I suspect that modulo a few A few of the sort of let's say less less in it for the movement, more in it for the money people on both sides. I think there is a lot of shared desire to use this technology to really you know, help get society onto a better footin…”
Gavin Wood May 26, 2022 ▶ 25:04 Ethereum Co-Founder Gavin Wood On What Web3 Is Actually Good For
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