The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Grok 4 beats all models on ARC-AGI by significant margin
“And then of course in the Arc AGI test, it outperforms Every model by a significant margin.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 12:50 OpenAI’s Windsurf Crash, Grok’s Wild Week, Replace Tim Cook? — With Aaron Levie
Insight
Kantrowitz: AI benchmark success without economic impact reveals spiky intelligence
“If it can solve arc AGI and it's not necessarily crushing on these economic factors and these just kind of general rote work things that we would like it to do it shows that instead of being general, it's very spiky intelligence and hence much less useful.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 18:58 GPT-6 & OpenAI’s Comeback, Hugging Face Attack Debate, Ballmer’s Scandalous Legacy
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Gemini 3 crushed the ARC-AGI benchmark and topped Chatbot Arena
“Gemini three smashes the benchmarks crushed on the Arc AGI test. It's currently at the top of the LM arena leaderboards”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 2:21 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
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