“A company that at best will have fifteen billion dollars of revenue this year and will be losing more than that. So we'll be losing probably more than twenty billion dollars this year.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
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More from Gil Luria
Opinion
Luria: Palantir is the best company in the world right now
“Palantir is the best company in the world right now. I'm not gonna even say the best software company. They're the best company in the world right now, because what they're able to do is go into a company and ask them, what's your biggest need right now? What …”
Gil LuriaNov 17, 2025▶ 5:12AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
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Luria: CoreWeave is the poster child for unhealthy AI debt financing
“CoreWeave, which is the poster child for the bad behavior that I'm talking about. We're talking about a startup that is borrowing money to build data centers for another startup. They're both losing tremendous amounts of cash, and yet they're somehow being abl…”
Gil LuriaNov 17, 2025▶ 5:43AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Luria: Falling GPU rental prices could trigger systemic AI debt defaults
“If we are here two years from now and there's hundreds of billions of dollars of debt, And the demand for AI stabilizes, or we built enough data centers to support the demand we have at that point in time, and the price for leasing pieces of AI for renting acc…”
Gil LuriaNov 17, 2025▶ 12:38AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Opinion
Luria: OpenAI's $100 Billion 2027 Revenue Projection Is Completely Disingenuous
“So for them to say, oh, we're gonna have a hundred billion dollars of revenue by 2027, which Sam Altman just did, is completely disingenuous. He has no idea. He's competing against much bigger, more powerful companies that have technology that's at least as go…”
Gil LuriaNov 17, 2025▶ 15:58AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Luria: Three-year GPU depreciation would drastically cut Oracle and CoreWeave profits
“If you told Amazon and Microsoft, and certainly if you told companies like Oracle and CoreWeave, no, no, no, no. These chips will only generate meaningful revenue for three years. Their profitability would decline very dramatically. So again, from Microsoft, A…”
Gil LuriaNov 17, 2025▶ 22:25AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Luria: Three-year-old AI chips will not generate sufficient revenue to run
“And that's where we think in a three year timeframe, three year old chips will just not be able to do enough computations to be worth keeping them on. So either we replace them or we use them for much less important things. That will generate much less revenue…”
Gil LuriaNov 17, 2025▶ 28:42AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
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