Gomez: AI Self-Improvement Plateaus and Won't Cause Intelligence Explosion
Aidan Gomez · The Next Gen AI Models: Reliable, Consistent, Trustworthy — With Cohere CEO Aidan Gomez · Oct 30, 2024 · at 24:46
Transformer co-author and Cohere CEO Aidan Gomez dismisses runaway AI intelligence takeoff theories in conversation with Alex Kantrowitz.
0:00 / 0:11exact quote · 11.9s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“Not happening. It's not happening. It improves for, it can self-improve for a while, and then it tapers off. And so, yeah, you get some good improvement out of it, which is why we use it, but then it plateaus. It doesn't just keep going forever.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Aidan Gomez
Gomez: AI will never cause mass unemployment of humans
“Well, because I think that we will never see mass unemployment of humans. I think that this technology is going to unlock more opportunities. It will let us do more as opposed to Scaling back what we do.”
Gomez: AI Models Are Less Capable and More Controllable Than Feared
“As more and more evidence emerges that these models are much more controllable than we may have thought that they're a little bit less capable than we may have thought it's harder and harder to make that narrative.”
Gomez: AI Can Reach AGI Through The Internet Without Physical Embodiment
“I actually take, I think the less popular view, which is The internet is enough, and by observation, you can actually learn enough to be extremely, extremely compelling. I think that's if we're talking about AGI and doing things as well as humans do, I think t…”
Gomez: AI Training Costs Are Small Relative to Long-Term Value
“I certainly understand the urge for people to see the numbers being spent on training and be concerned that it's not going to recoup in value, but I think that Those numbers are actually small relative to the long-term value that the technology will deliver.”
Gomez: AI Industry Is Building Useful Tools, Not an AGI God
“I don't know about God. Like, I don't think I'd ever use that term to describe what's coming. I think we're going to have some really powerful and useful tools. Emerge. I think that's what's coming. The idea that we're building AGI or something that's just gon…”
Gomez: AI Scaling Gains Will Suffer Diminishing Returns
“I don't think within any achievable scaling up for humanity that will reach that tipping point. It just saturates the gains become much, much smaller. And so you're much less willing to want to pay double the price for a minute difference. But it is pretty con…”