Astro Teller

Captain of Moonshots and CEO, X · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

executivefounderscientistauthor@astroteller ↗LinkedIn ↗astroteller.net ↗Wikipedia ↗

At Alphabet’s X, Teller oversees the research, development, and spinout of radical technologies and businesses, including Waymo, Wing, and Verily. Prior to leading X, he co-founded wearable maker BodyMedia and machine-learning hedge fund Cerebellum Capital, and has published novels and nonfiction books including Exegesis and Sacred Cows.

26statements → 15claims → 7claims resolved → 57%fully supported → 3.92/5average certainty → 2.19/5average debate potential → ≈4.0/5argument clarity, estimated →

4 supported 2 partly supported 1 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 7 not checkable as stated how the 15 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

4 predictions · 11 assertions · 1 opinion · 5 insights · 4 disclosures · 1 what if · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 15 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 7 are resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 7 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Astro argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Prediction Held up

Teller: Signers of AI pause letter will keep working on AI regardless

“Lots of people who signed that letter, and lots of other people in the world are going to keep working on it, no matter what letter they're signed.”

Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 10:45 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted

Teller: Global manufacturing spending is approaching $10 trillion annually

“The world spends sort of pushing 10 trillion dollars a year making stuff.”

Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 34:32 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1

none yet certainty 2

0% certainty 3

83% certainty 4

none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Astro Teller on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

What they said26 Episodes1

Everything Astro Teller said on Big Technology that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Contradicted

Teller: Global manufacturing spending is approaching $10 trillion annually

“The world spends sort of pushing 10 trillion dollars a year making stuff.”

Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 34:32 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers

Disclosure

Teller: Alphabet's X lab has tried roughly 30 education moonshots

“I'll give you another one. That's sort of like that education. Like I will consider it a failure if X doesn't eventually have a great moonshot in the education space. We've tried like 30 things. It, it's so painful.”

Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 51:19 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers

Appearances (1)

Episode	Date	Speaking time
Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dange	Jun 29, 2023	40m