Dec 4, 2023 · 48m · big-technology

Silicon Valley's Effective Altruist vs. Accelerationist Religious War

Deepa Sitaraman · 13m spoken Molly White · 13m spoken Alex Kantrowitz · 9m spoken Ryan Broderick · 8m spoken
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Alex Kantrowitz hosts journalists Molly White, Ryan Broderick, and Deepa Sitaraman to unpack the ideological conflict between Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism in Silicon Valley. The panel examines the movements' message-board roots, their role in corporate crises like the OpenAI boardroom coup, and how tech elites use these philosophies to justify immense wealth and deregulation.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Alex holds 21.6% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Alex as informed peer 5.2 Guest teaching 5.2 Guest disagreement 2.4 Alex pushing back 2.8
05100:0015:0030:0045:001:41–4:38 · Alex as informed peer 4/10 Defining Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism Alex prompts Molly to establish definitions for Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism. Molly provides an educational overview of long-termism, existential risk, and thermodynamic optimism.4:38–9:55 · Alex as informed peer 6/10 Online Forum Roots and Techno Optimist Manifestos Alex challenges Ryan's claim that EA and e/acc are fundamentally similar by citing Marc Andreessen's explicit anti-regulation rhetoric. Deepa and Molly corroborate that Andreessen labeled slowing AI as akin to murder.9:55–14:38 · Alex as informed peer 6/10 Internal Cultural Conflicts and Safety Priorities at AI Labs Deepa details the internal friction between OpenAI's theoretical superalignment team and near-term trust and safety teams. Alex reinforces the reporting by citing internal employee frustration over resource allocation for the 2024 election.14:38–21:08 · Alex as informed peer 5/10 Tech Leadership Motivations and Wealth Justification Rationales Molly analyzes how Silicon Valley figures adopt EA and e/acc as convenient moral rationales to justify massive wealth accumulation. Ryan adds that both ideologies remain aligned with extreme wealth creation rather than opposing economic systems.21:08–27:12 · Alex as informed peer 6/10 Ideological Tensions Behind the Sam Altman OpenAI Crisis Alex presses Deepa on the exact ideological divide during Sam Altman's board firing. Ryan aggressively dismisses the drama as online message board obsession over tools that are essentially glorified autocorrect.27:12–32:10 · Alex as informed peer 6/10 Post Crisis Narrative and the Myth of Imminent AGI Alex queries why both camps treat catastrophic or godlike AGI as imminent despite current technological limits. Molly and Ryan compare the phenomenon to crypto hype cycles and recurring historical apocalyptic mythology.32:10–37:38 · Alex as informed peer 5/10 Institutional Power and Academic Pipelines Shaping Policy Deepa delivers an in-depth breakdown of EA's institutional entrenchment through university hiring pipelines and top-tier policy summits. Alex probes the future organizational stability of Anthropic given its tight EA ties.37:38–47:17 · Alex as informed peer 6/10 Message Board Radicalization and Silicon Valley Tech Religions Alex asks why the industry requires quasi-religious movements rather than focusing purely on product development. Ryan and Molly discuss online radicalization and how manifestos allow venture capitalists to craft heroic legacies.47:17–48:39 · Alex as informed peer 3/10 Concluding Perspectives and Guest Project Plugs Alex closes the episode and provides plug details for Molly, Ryan, and Deepa's respective publications and newsletters.1:41–4:38 · Guest teaching 5/10 Defining Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism Alex prompts Molly to establish definitions for Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism. Molly provides an educational overview of long-termism, existential risk, and thermodynamic optimism.4:38–9:55 · Guest teaching 5/10 Online Forum Roots and Techno Optimist Manifestos Alex challenges Ryan's claim that EA and e/acc are fundamentally similar by citing Marc Andreessen's explicit anti-regulation rhetoric. Deepa and Molly corroborate that Andreessen labeled slowing AI as akin to murder.9:55–14:38 · Guest teaching 6/10 Internal Cultural Conflicts and Safety Priorities at AI Labs Deepa details the internal friction between OpenAI's theoretical superalignment team and near-term trust and safety teams. Alex reinforces the reporting by citing internal employee frustration over resource allocation for the 2024 election.14:38–21:08 · Guest teaching 6/10 Tech Leadership Motivations and Wealth Justification Rationales Molly analyzes how Silicon Valley figures adopt EA and e/acc as convenient moral rationales to justify massive wealth accumulation. Ryan adds that both ideologies remain aligned with extreme wealth creation rather than opposing economic systems.21:08–27:12 · Guest teaching 5/10 Ideological Tensions Behind the Sam Altman OpenAI Crisis Alex presses Deepa on the exact ideological divide during Sam Altman's board firing. Ryan aggressively dismisses the drama as online message board obsession over tools that are essentially glorified autocorrect.27:12–32:10 · Guest teaching 6/10 Post Crisis Narrative and the Myth of Imminent AGI Alex queries why both camps treat catastrophic or godlike AGI as imminent despite current technological limits. Molly and Ryan compare the phenomenon to crypto hype cycles and recurring historical apocalyptic mythology.32:10–37:38 · Guest teaching 7/10 Institutional Power and Academic Pipelines Shaping Policy Deepa delivers an in-depth breakdown of EA's institutional entrenchment through university hiring pipelines and top-tier policy summits. Alex probes the future organizational stability of Anthropic given its tight EA ties.37:38–47:17 · Guest teaching 6/10 Message Board Radicalization and Silicon Valley Tech Religions Alex asks why the industry requires quasi-religious movements rather than focusing purely on product development. Ryan and Molly discuss online radicalization and how manifestos allow venture capitalists to craft heroic legacies.47:17–48:39 · Guest teaching 1/10 Concluding Perspectives and Guest Project Plugs Alex closes the episode and provides plug details for Molly, Ryan, and Deepa's respective publications and newsletters.1:41–4:38 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Defining Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism Alex prompts Molly to establish definitions for Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism. Molly provides an educational overview of long-termism, existential risk, and thermodynamic optimism.4:38–9:55 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Online Forum Roots and Techno Optimist Manifestos Alex challenges Ryan's claim that EA and e/acc are fundamentally similar by citing Marc Andreessen's explicit anti-regulation rhetoric. Deepa and Molly corroborate that Andreessen labeled slowing AI as akin to murder.9:55–14:38 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Internal Cultural Conflicts and Safety Priorities at AI Labs Deepa details the internal friction between OpenAI's theoretical superalignment team and near-term trust and safety teams. Alex reinforces the reporting by citing internal employee frustration over resource allocation for the 2024 election.14:38–21:08 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Tech Leadership Motivations and Wealth Justification Rationales Molly analyzes how Silicon Valley figures adopt EA and e/acc as convenient moral rationales to justify massive wealth accumulation. Ryan adds that both ideologies remain aligned with extreme wealth creation rather than opposing economic systems.21:08–27:12 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Ideological Tensions Behind the Sam Altman OpenAI Crisis Alex presses Deepa on the exact ideological divide during Sam Altman's board firing. Ryan aggressively dismisses the drama as online message board obsession over tools that are essentially glorified autocorrect.27:12–32:10 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Post Crisis Narrative and the Myth of Imminent AGI Alex queries why both camps treat catastrophic or godlike AGI as imminent despite current technological limits. Molly and Ryan compare the phenomenon to crypto hype cycles and recurring historical apocalyptic mythology.32:10–37:38 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Institutional Power and Academic Pipelines Shaping Policy Deepa delivers an in-depth breakdown of EA's institutional entrenchment through university hiring pipelines and top-tier policy summits. Alex probes the future organizational stability of Anthropic given its tight EA ties.37:38–47:17 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Message Board Radicalization and Silicon Valley Tech Religions Alex asks why the industry requires quasi-religious movements rather than focusing purely on product development. Ryan and Molly discuss online radicalization and how manifestos allow venture capitalists to craft heroic legacies.47:17–48:39 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Concluding Perspectives and Guest Project Plugs Alex closes the episode and provides plug details for Molly, Ryan, and Deepa's respective publications and newsletters.1:41–4:38 · Alex pushing back 1/10 Defining Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism Alex prompts Molly to establish definitions for Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism. Molly provides an educational overview of long-termism, existential risk, and thermodynamic optimism.4:38–9:55 · Alex pushing back 6/10 Online Forum Roots and Techno Optimist Manifestos Alex challenges Ryan's claim that EA and e/acc are fundamentally similar by citing Marc Andreessen's explicit anti-regulation rhetoric. Deepa and Molly corroborate that Andreessen labeled slowing AI as akin to murder.9:55–14:38 · Alex pushing back 2/10 Internal Cultural Conflicts and Safety Priorities at AI Labs Deepa details the internal friction between OpenAI's theoretical superalignment team and near-term trust and safety teams. Alex reinforces the reporting by citing internal employee frustration over resource allocation for the 2024 election.14:38–21:08 · Alex pushing back 2/10 Tech Leadership Motivations and Wealth Justification Rationales Molly analyzes how Silicon Valley figures adopt EA and e/acc as convenient moral rationales to justify massive wealth accumulation. Ryan adds that both ideologies remain aligned with extreme wealth creation rather than opposing economic systems.21:08–27:12 · Alex pushing back 5/10 Ideological Tensions Behind the Sam Altman OpenAI Crisis Alex presses Deepa on the exact ideological divide during Sam Altman's board firing. Ryan aggressively dismisses the drama as online message board obsession over tools that are essentially glorified autocorrect.27:12–32:10 · Alex pushing back 3/10 Post Crisis Narrative and the Myth of Imminent AGI Alex queries why both camps treat catastrophic or godlike AGI as imminent despite current technological limits. Molly and Ryan compare the phenomenon to crypto hype cycles and recurring historical apocalyptic mythology.32:10–37:38 · Alex pushing back 2/10 Institutional Power and Academic Pipelines Shaping Policy Deepa delivers an in-depth breakdown of EA's institutional entrenchment through university hiring pipelines and top-tier policy summits. Alex probes the future organizational stability of Anthropic given its tight EA ties.37:38–47:17 · Alex pushing back 4/10 Message Board Radicalization and Silicon Valley Tech Religions Alex asks why the industry requires quasi-religious movements rather than focusing purely on product development. Ryan and Molly discuss online radicalization and how manifestos allow venture capitalists to craft heroic legacies.47:17–48:39 · Alex pushing back 0/10 Concluding Perspectives and Guest Project Plugs Alex closes the episode and provides plug details for Molly, Ryan, and Deepa's respective publications and newsletters.

speaking balance: gold is Alex, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Alex 75.4% · guest 24.6%0:00 · Alex 75.4% · guest 24.6%3:00 · Alex 10.9% · guest 89.1%3:00 · Alex 10.9% · guest 89.1%6:00 · Alex 28.9% · guest 71.1%6:00 · Alex 28.9% · guest 71.1%9:00 · Alex 16.3% · guest 83.7%9:00 · Alex 16.3% · guest 83.7%12:00 · Alex 21.1% · guest 78.9%12:00 · Alex 21.1% · guest 78.9%15:00 · Alex 17.9% · guest 82.1%15:00 · Alex 17.9% · guest 82.1%18:00 · Alex 0% · guest 100%18:00 · Alex 0% · guest 100%21:00 · Alex 14.8% · guest 85.2%21:00 · Alex 14.8% · guest 85.2%24:00 · Alex 8.4% · guest 91.6%24:00 · Alex 8.4% · guest 91.6%27:00 · Alex 27.7% · guest 72.3%27:00 · Alex 27.7% · guest 72.3%30:00 · Alex 11.5% · guest 88.5%30:00 · Alex 11.5% · guest 88.5%33:00 · Alex 18.2% · guest 81.8%33:00 · Alex 18.2% · guest 81.8%36:00 · Alex 18.7% · guest 81.3%36:00 · Alex 18.7% · guest 81.3%39:00 · Alex 13.2% · guest 86.8%39:00 · Alex 13.2% · guest 86.8%42:00 · Alex 15.2% · guest 84.8%42:00 · Alex 15.2% · guest 84.8%45:00 · Alex 35.8% · guest 64.2%45:00 · Alex 35.8% · guest 64.2%48:00 · Alex 78% · guest 22%48:00 · Alex 78% · guest 22%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 24:54 Ryan dismisses tech factions and AI importance

Ryan aggressively rejects the seriousness of the debate, claiming tech elites have blown up companies because they read too many blog posts about what is ultimately just autocorrect.

Hardest push from Alex ▶ 7:06 Alex challenges Ryan's claim of ideological convergence

Alex refuses Ryan's framing that EA and e/acc want the exact same thing, citing Marc Andreessen's aggressive advocacy for unconstrained building without safety guardrails.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 33:20 Deepa outlines EA's deep pipeline into policy and hiring

Deepa educates the panel on why EA's power remains durable despite scandals, explaining its dominance in elite university pipelines and official governmental advisory tables.

Alex holds their own ▶ 14:22 Alex cites internal OpenAI reporting on resource disparities

Alex demonstrates command of the subject matter by quoting specific reporting on internal OpenAI dissent regarding superalignment funding versus 2024 election safeguards.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicAlex as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementAlex pushing backWhy
Defining Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism 4511 Alex prompts Molly to establish definitions for Effective Altruism and Effective Accelerationism. Molly provides an educational overview of long-termism, existential risk, and thermodynamic optimism.
Online Forum Roots and Techno Optimist Manifestos 6546 Alex challenges Ryan's claim that EA and e/acc are fundamentally similar by citing Marc Andreessen's explicit anti-regulation rhetoric. Deepa and Molly corroborate that Andreessen labeled slowing AI as akin to murder.
Internal Cultural Conflicts and Safety Priorities at AI Labs 6622 Deepa details the internal friction between OpenAI's theoretical superalignment team and near-term trust and safety teams. Alex reinforces the reporting by citing internal employee frustration over resource allocation for the 2024 election.
Tech Leadership Motivations and Wealth Justification Rationales 5632 Molly analyzes how Silicon Valley figures adopt EA and e/acc as convenient moral rationales to justify massive wealth accumulation. Ryan adds that both ideologies remain aligned with extreme wealth creation rather than opposing economic systems.
Ideological Tensions Behind the Sam Altman OpenAI Crisis 6545 Alex presses Deepa on the exact ideological divide during Sam Altman's board firing. Ryan aggressively dismisses the drama as online message board obsession over tools that are essentially glorified autocorrect.
Post Crisis Narrative and the Myth of Imminent AGI 6633 Alex queries why both camps treat catastrophic or godlike AGI as imminent despite current technological limits. Molly and Ryan compare the phenomenon to crypto hype cycles and recurring historical apocalyptic mythology.
Institutional Power and Academic Pipelines Shaping Policy 5722 Deepa delivers an in-depth breakdown of EA's institutional entrenchment through university hiring pipelines and top-tier policy summits. Alex probes the future organizational stability of Anthropic given its tight EA ties.
Message Board Radicalization and Silicon Valley Tech Religions 6634 Alex asks why the industry requires quasi-religious movements rather than focusing purely on product development. Ryan and Molly discuss online radicalization and how manifestos allow venture capitalists to craft heroic legacies.
Concluding Perspectives and Guest Project Plugs 3100 Alex closes the episode and provides plug details for Molly, Ryan, and Deepa's respective publications and newsletters.

Statements from this episode (26)

Assertion Not checkable as stated
White: Effective Altruists favor slower, methodical AI development for safety
“Effective altruism is a group of people who believe in sort of doing as much good as possible with this sort of like data driven analysis approach... And why they have largely adopted this idea that although they think we should be developing artificial intell…”
Molly White Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 2:42
Assertion Not checkable as stated
White: Effective accelerationists want fast AI development regardless of risks
“The effective accelerationists, on the other hand, believe that we should just go all out, no breaks, develop as quickly as we can without any real regard for the risks, and that it will all just sort of work itself out because of some philosophy that they sor…”
Molly White Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 4:02
Assertion Contradicted
Broderick: The LessWrong forum birthed Effective Altruism and early neo-reactionism
“At the middle 2000, there was the rise of a very kind of niche, but influential message board and blog called less wrong and less wrong... Was the birthplace for several Sort of digital philosophies, online philosophies. So the big one is obviously effective a…”
Ryan Broderick Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 5:07
Opinion
Broderick: EA and e/acc differ primarily on timeframe, not ultimate goals
“I have not found much difference in what these two groups want, only the timeframe in which they want them to happen. It is, it, in my opinion, I have not seen enough difference between the two.”
Ryan Broderick Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 7:31
Opinion
Broderick: Effective Accelerationism was basically a meme until late 2023
“Effective accelerationism was more or less a meme until last week. Like it wasn't really even like a thing. It was sort of just like a way to make older Silicon Valley guys look cringe or more cringe.”
Ryan Broderick Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 7:43
Assertion Supported
Sitaraman: Marc Andreessen's manifesto equated slowing AI development to murder
“When he did his tech optimist manifesto, when was that? A couple months ago. Didn't he say that any type of deceleration of AI would cost lives? And so if you're slowing down AI development, you're basically a murderer.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 8:55
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sitaraman: All major AI labs officially denied being Effective Altruism-aligned
“For this story, we asked all the companies, by the way, if they agreed with characterization of them as EA or not, and all of the companies told us they are not EA aligned.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 11:13
Assertion Supported
Sitaraman: OpenAI's superalignment team tried to create an automated AI scientist
“And one of the projects that, you know, we reported on was they were trying to create an AI scientist. So this is like not a science, like a human scientist, like an AI scientist that would study alignment.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 12:41
Assertion Supported
Sitaraman: OpenAI only recently hired one person for 2024 election policy
“And so open AI a couple months ago, just hired a, somebody on their policy team focused on the 20, 24 election.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 13:19
Insight
White: EA and e/acc rebrand Silicon Valley wealth accumulation as heroic
“Effective accelerationism and to an extent effective altruism are really just sort of a rebranding of a lot of the same philosophies that have existed in Silicon Valley for a long time where people really want to feel good about themselves. Like they're, you k…”
Molly White Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 18:40
Opinion
Broderick: EA and e/acc share goals of wealth and anti-democratic thought
“They're not opposites in the sense that, like, EA are communists. Like, they're both pretty aligned on the idea of making as much money as humanly possible. They're both supported by a lot of anti-democratic thinkers. They're both sort of center to not maybe j…”
Ryan Broderick Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 19:45
Opinion
White: Framing AI debates as EA versus e/acc ignores established research
“We've been seeing this framing of the AI debate as being between the effective altruists and the effective accelerationists, as though those are the two sides of the debate. When in reality, that is a very small portion and it's a very extreme and very loud po…”
Molly White Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 20:23
Assertion Supported
Sitaraman: OpenAI's board fired Sam Altman for lacking candor, not safety
“The board in their statement as sort of lacking in detail as it was said that they didn't fire Sam for anything but lack of candor, right? Like they didn't fire him because he wasn't AI safety enough.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 22:58
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sitaraman: Ilya Sutskever identifies as an AI safety advocate, not EA
“If you talk to people who know Ilya, he's like, I'm not EA, I'm AI safety.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 24:07
Opinion
Broderick: Effective Altruists focus on AI risk because it makes good posts
“EA people should be, like, super into vaccinations or, like, preparing for the covid-twenty-four or whatever, but they've determined that it is the ultimate risk to humanity because it's exciting and interesting, and it, like, makes for a good post. And that i…”
Ryan Broderick Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 25:13
Opinion
White: Giving e/acc outsized media attention risks a self-fulfilling prophecy
“The idea that effective acceleration is now will be dictating the future of this entire field, I think is is it's something that risks becoming sort of a self fulfilling prophecy where we now give these people far more attention and sort of you know, weight to…”
Molly White Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 29:16
Opinion
White: Both EA and e/acc share a mythology about imminent godlike AI
“They both have this sort of mythology in their heads about this, you know, godlike AI being that is just around the corner.”
Molly White Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 30:12
Insight
White: AI believers shift definitions of sentience to make AGI seem plausible
“People begin to really change their own definitions of what artificial general intelligence means, what sentience means, what humanity means, in order to make these things seem more plausible or more true than they really are.”
Molly White Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 31:21
Assertion Supported
Sitaraman: Reports of a Q* letter prompting the OpenAI coup are false
“One thing that I've now heard from a few different people is that the reports about the, a letter being sent to the board about Q star that, that that's not true. And then it didn't precipitate the board's decision.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 32:20
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sitaraman: Effective Altruism will retain strong influence in AI hiring and policy
“So you're probably going to hire a bunch of EA people and you're going to have to make them happy because they could leave at any time. Right there. There's huge competition for people who actually build these systems. So there's that, but then, you know, so t…”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 34:29
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sitaraman: Anthropic screens job candidates for Effective Altruism culture fit
“There's a culture fit test. Like when you get hired where you're asked that, that as far as I understand, I don't have like the questions in front of me, but a lot of the questions are sound, they're basically trying to test whether or not you'd be EA enough. …”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 36:13
Assertion Supported
Sitaraman: Anthropic employs philosopher Amanda Askell, ex-partner of EA founder Will MacAskill
“They have a philosopher on staff who. Really? Yeah. Everybody does that. Right. But it's Amanda Askell. So she's the former wife, I think, or of Will McCaskill, who is the, right, the founder of EA.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 36:39
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sitaraman: Anthropic likely won't fracture over EA controversies due to shared baseline
“Will they be split up by it? Probably not just because they are all coming from the starting point that EA is good. It's just maybe the execution is a problem or we are misunderstood and it's a public issue.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 36:59
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Broderick: The OpenAI drama will galvanize accelerationists into a serious movement
“I think that if there's really any legacy from the last week of drama instead of opening AI, it's that the acceleration is all found each other. And like, now know how to talk about each other. And now we'll start to see sort of like those memes becoming more …”
Ryan Broderick Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 39:04
Opinion
White: Effective Accelerationism just rebrands 'move fast and break things'
“I think it is mostly a rebrand of, you know, move fast, break things, which has been Silicon Valley's, you know, mantra since early Facebook. But with the added sort of religious, almost philosophy behind it, and the very effective altruist style of speaking a…”
Molly White Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 39:49
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Broderick: Emerging tech ideologies will outlast the generative AI fad
“I think that the philosophies that we've seen sort of emerge and the rebranding of these philosophies that we've seen happen over the last month or so have a good chance of outliving the generative AI fad.”
Ryan Broderick Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 46:31
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