Prediction Open AI assessment confidence: 85% certainty 4/5 debate potential 3/5

Baker: Annual AI inference revenue will finish the year well over $200B

Gavin Baker · The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod · Jun 11, 2026 · at 1:05:28

Gavin Baker argues against skeptical views on AI CapEx ROI, estimating that current inference revenues are accelerating rapidly.

0:00 / 0:05exact quote · 5.8s
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“I think we end this year well over two hundred billion in inference revenue, well over.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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