“I think we end this year well over two hundred billion in inference revenue, well over.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
(the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Gavin Baker
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Baker: NVIDIA can become a top cloud computing company faster than expected
“I think Nvidia can join the frontier and become one of the world's largest cloud computing companies. Much faster than people think.”
Gavin BakerJun 11, 2026▶ 58:31The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Baker: xAI's Google deal yields higher profit per GW than competitors
“He shows that XAI's deal with Google for cloud computing generates more operating profit per gigawatt than Anthropic, than Meta, than Google, than OpenAI.”
Gavin BakerJun 11, 2026▶ 2:54The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Baker: Cursor and Anthropic hold more coding data than public web
“But my understanding is that Cursor and Anthropic have more tokens of proprietary coding data than anyone else, and they each have more tokens of proprietary coding data than exist on the public internet.”
Gavin BakerJun 11, 2026▶ 5:21The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
AssertionContradicted
Baker: Musk's Infrastructure Became the Fourth-Largest AI Hyperscaler
“In 30 days, we went from not being an AI hyperscaler to being number four, and we passed a lot of companies, including Oracle.”
Gavin BakerJun 11, 2026▶ 18:37The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Baker: Grok 4.3 was the most intelligent 500B parameter model in the world
“Grok 4.3 was on the Pareto frontier, and as of 10 or 12 days ago, and these things move fast, most intelligent, five hundred billion parameter model in the world. And they were on the frontier, and there are four companies on the frontier. XAI, SpaceX AI, Goog…”
Gavin BakerJun 11, 2026▶ 34:16The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Baker: Frontier AI Will Capture Most Revenue While Open Source Drives Token Volume
“The majority of economic value may continue to accrue to the frontier, and man has it ever accrued to the frontier thus far, and for sure the first six months this year, but the majority of tokens consumed in the world may be open source.”
Gavin BakerJun 11, 2026▶ 42:45The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Made with StarZero
Turn any episode into a week of clips.
This entire site, over 40 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable,
runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the
moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.
We use essential cookies to make the site work. With your permission we
also use analytics cookies (Google Analytics and Mixpanel) to understand
usage and improve StarZero. See our Cookie Policy.