Taiwan

3 statements across 2 episodes · 0 bullish · 2 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Feb 5, 2025 by Bill Gurley · said 24 times in 10 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Brad Gerstner (14), Bill Gurley (8), Jensen Huang (1), Clark Tang (1)

tap a year for its mentions
0083156202420252026episodesmentions
036202420252026episodes it came up in
001.5336202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 2 mentions in 1 episode
2025 13 mentions in 6 episodes 2 per episode
2024 9 mentions in 3 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Taiwan, oldest first

Feb 5, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurley: Escalating tech constraints on China raises Taiwan invasion risk
“But I think if you, I think I can imagine that if you just poke China enough, if you keep poking and you keep poking and you keep raising the constraints, you increase the odds that they make a run at Taiwan.”
Bill Gurley Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 36:16 DeepSeek, Open Source, Tariffs, DOGE, Market Impact | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jun 6, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Total AI chip bans dramatically increase the risk of China invading Taiwan
“If we keep the chip ban in place, here's my biggest concern. I think it dramatically increases the chances that China is forced to move on Taiwan.”
Brad Gerstner Jun 6, 2025 ▶ 41:20 China, AI Immigration, Rare Earths & Chips, Tariffs, Markets | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jun 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Around zero percent of leading-edge semiconductor chips are fabricated outside Taiwan
“Today, we have about zero percent of leading edge chips fabbed outside of Taiwan, right? Almost nothing in the United States.”
Brad Gerstner Jun 6, 2025 ▶ 44:29 China, AI Immigration, Rare Earths & Chips, Tariffs, Markets | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
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