SpaceX

includes SpaceX Starship

13 statements across 3 episodes · 8 bullish · 2 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Apr 18, 2024 by Brad Gerstner · said 55 times in 6 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Brad Gerstner (36), Andrew Fox (10), Bill Gurley (6), Philippe Laffont (2), Gavin Baker (1)

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Everything said about SpaceX, oldest first

Apr 18, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Gerstner: Elite Tech Companies Like SpaceX and Stripe May Stay Private
“You know, think of, you know, the SpaceX's, the ByteDance, the Databricks, the Stripes of the world, all the companies people are waiting to see when they're going to come public. They all fit that profile. They don't need the public markets to provide the liq…”
Brad Gerstner Apr 18, 2024 ▶ 24:39 Ep7. The Great IPO Debate, Tesla Robotaxi v Uber, Tech Check | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jun 22, 2024 negative
Opinion
Gerstner: The 'stay private forever' strategy fails for most unicorns
“I really don't like the stay private forever idea. It works for some companies where you have an Elon Musk running SpaceX, and you know, the intrinsic motivation and experience will lead to a good outcome. It doesn't work well for 3050, bless you, of the other…”
Brad Gerstner Jun 22, 2024 ▶ 23:27 Ep11. Coatue Conference Recap, Tesla & ISS Controversy | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Fox: Starlink Penetrates Under 1% of Global Households
“You look at the percent of global households with Starlink, it's less than one percent.”
Andrew Fox Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 10:49 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2032
Fox: SpaceX Launch Cadence Will Reach Thousands of Flights
“So look, I think expectations for now, you know, we're going from, You know, call it a 160, 165 launches last year, up into the high hundreds of launches in the next several years. And, you know, getting into the thousands of launches probably in the next thre…”
Andrew Fox Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 9:23 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Insight
Fox: Orbital Compute CapEx Is $5B/GW vs $20-25B Terrestrially
“The math you get to before you account for things like bad GPUs, bad satellites, right, these will all be things that happen, but the math you get to is it's about five billion dollars per gigawatt Of CapEx to put these in space. Right. For comparison, terrest…”
Andrew Fox Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 26:43 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: Elon Musk is locked up for 365 days post-SpaceX IPO
“And by the way, he's locked up for 365 days. Yes, exactly. So we know he's not selling, right?”
Brad Gerstner Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 38:53 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Gerstner: SpaceX IPO is a must-own for institutional investors
“And so I think for most institutional investors, it's a must buy, a must own, it's set it and forget it, right, in order to have a real bet on both the space and the AI future.”
Brad Gerstner Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 36:39 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Baker: Musk's Infrastructure Became the Fourth-Largest AI Hyperscaler
“In 30 days, we went from not being an AI hyperscaler to being number four, and we passed a lot of companies, including Oracle.”
Gavin Baker Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 18:37 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Insight
Fox: Starship Can Carry 5 Megawatts of AI Compute Per Launch
“And when you back into the numbers, you get to something like five megawatts of capacity per Starship launch.”
Andrew Fox Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 26:22 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Baker: SpaceX has offered employee liquidity every six months for 10 years
“I think another thing that's unprecedented here is the employees and to a large degree the investors here have had liquidity every six months. For like the last 10 years. So if you're a SpaceX employee or former employee and you wanted to sell, you've had, wha…”
Gavin Baker Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 41:42 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Gerstner: Altimeter holds SpaceX shares and expects to buy in IPO
“We're also a shareholder. you know, we also expect to be buying in the IPO.”
Brad Gerstner Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 1:45 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Gerstner: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI will add $1T revenue in 4-5 years
“The forecast now that we're going to add another trillion of revenue in just three companies, SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI, over the next four to five years, ok? Like, not seven companies, three companies, and in half the time, right?”
Brad Gerstner Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 1:18:36 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fox: xAI signed compute deals with Anthropic and Google worth billions
“They just signed Anthropic at 22 to 23. They just signed Google at 50.”
Andrew Fox Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 24:12 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
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