software

7 statements across 6 episodes · 1 bullish · 2 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Jan 25, 2024 by Brad Gerstner · across every show →

Everything said about software, oldest first

Jan 25, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: Tech trades at 36% premium to 10-year average while software lags
“The blue line represents tech. This is the Q's. We're trading at about a 36% premium to the ten-year average. I just showed you software. Software is still trading at a discount because people are more skeptical of software, but when you look at the Q's, Nvidi…”
Brad Gerstner Jan 25, 2024 ▶ 27:08 BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner | MANG VC Gone Wild, Can You Trust AI Valuations? & More | E01 · Bg2 Pod
Jun 10, 2024 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gerstner: 'Death of software' narrative will look silly within 24 months
“I would argue less than 24 months will appear to be silly. I think there's some really interesting investments to be made particularly in the public markets because a lot of these incumbents have incumbent advantages and, you know, they're going to accelerate …”
Brad Gerstner Jun 10, 2024 ▶ 55:06 Ep10. Pre-IPO Market, AI Hype Cycle, Is Software Dead? | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jun 10, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Gurley: Software optimism cannot recover while peak AI hype persists
“I don't think you can simultaneously have people get re-optimistic about software and the hype cycle of AI to continue at the pace it's been on, because I think they're at odds with one another, because the most glorious statements about what AI is and can do …”
Bill Gurley Jun 10, 2024 ▶ 56:07 Ep10. Pre-IPO Market, AI Hype Cycle, Is Software Dead? | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Aug 9, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Gurley: AI Will Not Replace All Software or Cause Mass Unemployment
“I don't think this replaces all software. I don't think people are going to be sitting around jobless and need UBI. I don't think You know, I don't think that, that all software just goes away. Someone said that this is the new operating system. I don't think …”
Bill Gurley Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 45:30 Ep14. Public Market Volatility, AI Air Pocket, $GOOG Ruling | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Sep 11, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Godement: The world suffers from a massive software shortage
“I buy completely the thesis that there is a massive software shortage. Like, in the world.”
Olivier Godman Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 55:51 Inside OpenAI Enterprise: Forward Deployed Engineering, GPT-5, and More | BG2 Guest Interview · Bg2 Pod
Oct 31, 2025 neutral
Insight
Nadella: AI gives software significantly higher marginal costs, forcing business model adjustments
“Overall, it is going to be true that there is a real marginal cost to software this time around. It was there in the cloud era too. When we were doing, you know, CD-ROMs, there wasn't much of a marginal cost. You know, with the cloud, there was. And this time …”
Satya Nadella Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 59:54 All things AI w @altcap @sama & @satyanadella. A Halloween Special. 🎃🔥BG2 w/ Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Software and Internet Lagged While AI Lifted SPY and NASDAQ
“Internet's down 16%. Software's down eight percent on the year. You know, SPY and NASDAQ are up, but really up because of their components that are related to AI and compute.”
Brad Gerstner Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 1:12:47 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
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