S&P 500

part of S&P

8 statements across 7 episodes · 2 bullish · 1 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Jun 22, 2024 by Brad Gerstner · said 51 times in 21 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Brad Gerstner (46), Bill Gurley (5)

tap a year for its mentions
00158301520242025episodesmentions
081520242025episodes it came up in
0027.541520242025episodesmentions per episode
2025 28 mentions in 8 episodes 4 per episode
2024 23 mentions in 13 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about S&P 500, oldest first

Jun 22, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: Nvidia and Magnificent Six drove 10% of S&P's 14% return
“So far this year, NVIDIA is responsible for five percent of the S&P 500 returns. The other MAG six are responsible for five percent, and then the other 493 companies in the S&P 500 are responsible for four percent of the 14% year to date returns.”
Brad Gerstner Jun 22, 2024 ▶ 6:16 Ep11. Coatue Conference Recap, Tesla & ISS Controversy | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jul 11, 2024 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Earnings for the 'S&P 495' Are Down 5% Over 12 Months
“If you look at the S&P, 500 as a whole earnings are, you know, roughly flat during that period of time. And if you look at, if you take out those tech stocks, the other 495 earnings are actually down five percent.”
Brad Gerstner Jul 11, 2024 ▶ 12:28 Ep12. Tech Stocks vs the Rest; AI VC Bubble, Calcium CT Scan | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Oct 13, 2024 bullish
Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2024
Gurley: NVIDIA has 65% operating margins while growing over 100%
“You have a company at a 3.3 trillion market cap that's still growing over a hundred percent a year, and the margins are insane. I mean, 65% operating margins. There's only like five companies in the S&P 500 at that level, and they certainly aren't growing at t…”
Bill Gurley Oct 13, 2024 ▶ 3:40 Ep18. Jensen Recap - Competitive Moat, X.AI, Smart Assistant | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Nov 21, 2024 neutral
Prediction Held up
Gerstner: Broad indices will not see a 25% gain in 2025
“I don't expect a 25% up year for a broad-based index.”
Brad Gerstner Nov 21, 2024 ▶ 1:01:27 Ep20. AI Scaling Laws, DOGE, FSD 13, Trump Markets | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jan 11, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Big Five Grew 2024 Earnings by 44% vs 2% for S&P 495
“And in 2024, the big five, so in this case, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, Amazon, and Google grew earnings at 44%... If you look at the other 495 companies in the S&P, their earnings only grew two percent.”
Brad Gerstner Jan 11, 2025 ▶ 11:09 Market Predictions, Rates & Inflation, DOGE, CES, AI Compute | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jan 11, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: 2025 Market Returns Depend on Non-Tech Earnings and Sub-5% Rates
“I don't think we're going to see a year that looks anything like 20, 23 or 20, 24 anyway. But if you just said, can we get to 10 or 15% on the market? A couple of things have to happen. You have to see this acceleration in earnings, number one, and number two,…”
Brad Gerstner Jan 11, 2025 ▶ 13:35 Market Predictions, Rates & Inflation, DOGE, CES, AI Compute | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jan 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: S&P excluding Mag 7 faces high hurdle from baked-in earnings acceleration
“If you look at the S and P, we think that S and P is baking in a big earnings acceleration this year. And that's on top of already high multiples. So the S and P X mag seven has a big hurdle this year. If you look at what's expected out of mag seven, it's a pr…”
Brad Gerstner Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 1:06:58 Stargate, Executive Orders, TikTok, DOGE, Public Valuations | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jul 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: Invest America Act seeds $1,000 S&P 500 accounts for newborns
“It creates private investment savings accounts, privately owned for every child at birth, seated with a thousand bucks in the S&P 500.”
Brad Gerstner Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 10:12 Michael Dell – Invest America Act Becomes Law, AI Talent Wars, Compute Demand, Market Update | BG2 · Bg2 Pod
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 40 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.