LLMs

also referred to as: llm's

8 statements across 5 episodes · 1 bullish · 6 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Feb 8, 2024 by Bill Gurley · across every show →

Everything said about LLMs, oldest first

Feb 8, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurley: Next AI steps will not be linear or super linear
“I do think the text has kind of been solved and everything's kind of been scanned. And I think the next steps not Linear or super linear. I think it's going to be a little bit of a find.”
Bill Gurley Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 1:11:11 BG2 with Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & Aaron Levie | Software Valuations, Earnings, Immigration | E02 · Bg2 Pod
Mar 21, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Gurley: LLM switching costs are remarkably low at 2 out of 100
“Today, you know, as it stands, I would say if you were to rate these LLMs on their switching cost with zero maybe being none and a hundred being perfect, I'd say they're at two. Like, it's remarkably low”
Bill Gurley Mar 21, 2024 ▶ 1:21:35 Ep5. Stock Comp, AI Cold War, Valuations for LLM | BG2 with Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Bob Mylod · Bg2 Pod
Apr 4, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gurley: Tesla Full Self-Driving Is Traditional AI, Not LLM-Based
“One thing that, that I think is really different between the full self-driving data point and is that it's not built on LLMs. It's a traditional use case of AI, which allows it to I think have much more finite input, output, and that example use case is fairly…”
Bill Gurley Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 6:17 Ep6. AI Demand / Supply - Models, Agents, the $2T Compute Build Out, Need for More Nuclear & More · Bg2 Pod
Apr 4, 2024 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Gerstner: At Least 20 LLM Companies Will Go to Zero
“There are gonna be 20 LLMs that go to zero or many more”
Brad Gerstner Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 18:09 Ep6. AI Demand / Supply - Models, Agents, the $2T Compute Build Out, Need for More Nuclear & More · Bg2 Pod
Apr 4, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Gurley: Developer Switching Costs Between LLMs Are Extremely Low
“Today the switching costs based on every developer I've talked to are we mentioned this before, but about as low as you could possibly imagine. And if you're just using big context windows and not doing fine tuning, then you're just not, you can bounce from on…”
Bill Gurley Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 1:06:24 Ep6. AI Demand / Supply - Models, Agents, the $2T Compute Build Out, Need for More Nuclear & More · Bg2 Pod
Apr 4, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurley: LLMs Will Provide Little Utility on Manufacturing Floors
“You know, LLM's not going to do much for you on a manufacturing floor. The LLM part. AI might but the LLM won't.”
Bill Gurley Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 16:23 Ep6. AI Demand / Supply - Models, Agents, the $2T Compute Build Out, Need for More Nuclear & More · Bg2 Pod
Jul 11, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Gurley: LLMs Are Structurally Set Up for Diminishing Marginal Returns
“I'm probably more skeptical. I think that the way that LLM's work is actually set up for diminishing marginal returns, but we will see.”
Bill Gurley Jul 11, 2024 ▶ 38:40 Ep12. Tech Stocks vs the Rest; AI VC Bubble, Calcium CT Scan | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Dec 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Patel: Tanking LLM delivery costs will induce demand for compute
“The cost for delivering LLMs is Is tanking, which is going to induce demand, right?”
Dylan Patel Dec 23, 2024 ▶ 15:05 AI Semiconductor Landscape feat. Dylan Patel | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
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