frontier models

also referred to as: frontier model

5 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Mar 7, 2024 by Brad Gerstner · across every show →

Everything said about frontier models, oldest first

Mar 7, 2024 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gerstner: Next-Gen AI Frontier Models Will Arrive in Q2 2025
“All the rest of the frontier models are kind of in this holding pattern because they're waiting for the B 100 to get launched to this Q three, Q four out of Nvidia. Which probably means the next iteration of the frontier models will come out in Q two of next y…”
Brad Gerstner Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 30:30 Ep4. Tesla FSD 12, Imitation AI Models, Open vs Closed AI Models, Delaware vs Elon, & Market Update · Bg2 Pod
Dec 12, 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nadella: Hyperscale AI infrastructure will not be a winner-take-all market
“I don't think it's going to be winner-take-all, right? Because a lot, there may be some categories that may be winner-take-all. For example, on the hyperscale side, absolutely not, right? I mean, the world will demand, you know, even ex-China, ah, multiple pro…”
Satya Nadella Dec 12, 2024 ▶ 20:56 Satya Nadella | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jan 11, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Apple is not investing in frontier AI models
“Because they're not, you know, Apple is not investing in frontier models.”
Brad Gerstner Jan 11, 2025 ▶ 18:00 Market Predictions, Rates & Inflation, DOGE, CES, AI Compute | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: Frontier AI Will Capture Most Revenue While Open Source Drives Token Volume
“The majority of economic value may continue to accrue to the frontier, and man has it ever accrued to the frontier thus far, and for sure the first six months this year, but the majority of tokens consumed in the world may be open source.”
Gavin Baker Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 42:45 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: All frontier AI model revenue will accrue to the Pareto curve
“And I do think being all revenue will accrue to the Pareto curve. All at least kind of frontier model revenue will accrue to the Pareto curve.”
Gavin Baker Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 4:52 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
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