compute

8 statements across 4 episodes · 6 bullish · 0 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Apr 4, 2024 by Brad Gerstner · across every show →

Everything said about compute, oldest first

Apr 4, 2024 bullish
Insight
Gerstner: Falling Compute Prices Will Massively Surge Aggregate Consumption
“If you drive down the price of the cost of compute, then the reflexivity is people will consume a lot more of it. Now, this is also known as the Jevons paradox, right? As price goes, goes down, we demand more of it. The aggregate amount of Consumed, of the com…”
Brad Gerstner Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 24:48 Ep6. AI Demand / Supply - Models, Agents, the $2T Compute Build Out, Need for More Nuclear & More · Bg2 Pod
Feb 5, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: DeepSeek and OpenAI Deep Research will unleash massive inference demand
“I think we're going to need way more compute than we have. I think deep seek unleashes the amount of inference we're going to need. I think deep research out of open AI unleashes that.”
Brad Gerstner Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 1:09:19 DeepSeek, Open Source, Tariffs, DOGE, Market Impact | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Oct 31, 2025 neutral
Insight
Altman: AI scaling currently equates log of intelligence to log of compute
“Unfortunately, it's something closer to log of intelligence equals log of compute, but we may figure out better scaling laws, and we may figure out how to beat this.”
Sam Altman Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 17:31 All things AI w @altcap @sama & @satyanadella. A Halloween Special. 🎃🔥BG2 w/ Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Oct 31, 2025 bullish
Insight
Altman: A 100x drop in compute cost would trigger >100x demand surge
“If the price of compute per like unit of intelligence or whatever, however you want to think about it. Fell by a factor of a hundred tomorrow, you would see usage go up by much more than a hundred. And there'd be a lot of things that people would love to do wi…”
Sam Altman Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 16:00 All things AI w @altcap @sama & @satyanadella. A Halloween Special. 🎃🔥BG2 w/ Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Oct 31, 2025 bullish
What-if
Altman: 10x more compute would yield near 10x revenue for OpenAI
“If we had 10 X more compute, I don't know if we'd have 10 X more revenue, but I don't think it'd be that far.”
Sam Altman Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 15:00 All things AI w @altcap @sama & @satyanadella. A Halloween Special. 🎃🔥BG2 w/ Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Oct 31, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: OpenAI scaled compute roughly 10x over the past year
“We've scaled our compute probably to 10 X over the past year”
Sam Altman Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 15:00 All things AI w @altcap @sama & @satyanadella. A Halloween Special. 🎃🔥BG2 w/ Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Anthropic achieved accidental profitability due to compute spending constraints
“Atropic, no way did they think they were going to be anywhere close to breakeven. Right? In, in, in, in this part of the curve. And the reason, like I called it accidental profitability that, you know, people have been talking about that because they want to s…”
Brad Gerstner Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 1:10:17 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tang: AI compute supply will fall far short within three years
“If we continue this curve within like three years, you know, we're just gonna be so short on all the compute.”
Clark Tang Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 1:09:49 The SpaceX IPO, Fable 5, AI Capex Update & Market Check w/ Gavin Baker, Andrew Fox & Clark Tang · Bg2 Pod
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 40 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.