ByteDance

11 statements across 8 episodes · 5 bullish · 4 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Feb 22, 2024 by Brad Gerstner · said 39 times in 14 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Brad Gerstner (29), Bill Gurley (9), Jensen Huang (1)

tap a year for its mentions
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001.5531020242025episodesmentions per episode
2025 25 mentions in 9 episodes 3 per episode
2024 14 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about ByteDance, oldest first

Feb 22, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: AI answer engines will operate below margin to take search share
“It would be surprising to me if we don't see Meta AI, and Microsoft, and ByteDance, and Perplexity, and all the others who are providing answer engines, ChatGPT, coming at them below margin, ok?”
Brad Gerstner Feb 22, 2024 ▶ 25:30 BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner | NVDA, Chips, AI Compute Build Out, AI Impact on Big Tech | E03 · Bg2 Pod
Mar 21, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: There is a real chance TikTok shuts down within 18 months
“So I think there's a real chance that when we're looking at this, 12 to 18 months from now, that it's an absolute no go, that they can't find a middle ground and that the app is shut down.”
Brad Gerstner Mar 21, 2024 ▶ 1:07:29 Ep5. Stock Comp, AI Cold War, Valuations for LLM | BG2 with Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Bob Mylod · Bg2 Pod
Apr 18, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Institutional LPs Cannot Easily Sell Multi-Billion ByteDance Stakes
“You can't sell easily a billion or a two billion dollar position in ByteDance or sell a multi-billion dollar position. So all of the endowments, foundations, you know, pension funds, they're in a different position than they've been in the past.”
Brad Gerstner Apr 18, 2024 ▶ 28:51 Ep7. The Great IPO Debate, Tesla Robotaxi v Uber, Tech Check | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Apr 18, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Gerstner: Elite Tech Companies Like SpaceX and Stripe May Stay Private
“You know, think of, you know, the SpaceX's, the ByteDance, the Databricks, the Stripes of the world, all the companies people are waiting to see when they're going to come public. They all fit that profile. They don't need the public markets to provide the liq…”
Brad Gerstner Apr 18, 2024 ▶ 24:39 Ep7. The Great IPO Debate, Tesla Robotaxi v Uber, Tech Check | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jan 23, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurley: Odds of ByteDance Agreeing to Sell TikTok Are Low
“Well, and they've had a 180 days to do it. So the odds that they actually want to do it, I think are low because they could have done it already.”
Bill Gurley Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 1:04:16 Stargate, Executive Orders, TikTok, DOGE, Public Valuations | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Mar 2, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: ByteDance's chatbot is the number one AI assistant in China
“Their AI, you know, their chat GPT equivalent is number one in China, right?”
Brad Gerstner Mar 2, 2025 ▶ 34:07 Grok 3, AI Memory & Voice, China, DOGE, Public Market Pull Back | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Apr 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: 90% of ByteDance's Business Is Outside TikTok US
“About 90% of ByteDance's business is not TikTok US. 90% of the value of the company is things like Doyan, which is the Chinese version of TikTok, and Daobao, which is the Chinese version of ChatGPT, and TikTok around the world, and so there's a huge and profit…”
Brad Gerstner Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 1:10:21 Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 · Bg2 Pod
Apr 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: 60% of ByteDance Shareholders Are US Investors
“Remember, the shareholders in ByteDance, 60% of those are U.S. Investors like Altimeter.”
Brad Gerstner Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 1:05:52 Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 · Bg2 Pod
May 22, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Gerstner Discloses Altimeter Is a Major Investor in Anduril and ByteDance
“We're a big investors in Andrew. You know, we're big investors in ByteDance.”
Brad Gerstner May 22, 2025 ▶ 18:44 AI, Middle East, China, Tariffs, Recon Bill, Invest America | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
May 22, 2025 positive
Opinion
Gerstner: The US should sell AI chips to China to protect the CUDA ecosystem
“Are we better off selling to those countries, those companies, keeping companies like ByteDance and Tencent, et cetera, in the CUDA ecosystem, rather than allowing all of that data, all of those profits to flow right into the Huawei ecosystem and benefit the C…”
Brad Gerstner May 22, 2025 ▶ 29:59 AI, Middle East, China, Tariffs, Recon Bill, Invest America | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Aug 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Gurley: ByteDance operates China's closest equivalent to OpenAI's consumer app
“If someone said, Whose app is closest to open AIs in China? It's already an app from ByteDance that's out there.”
Bill Gurley Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 50:12 China, China, China. Breaking Down China’s Tech Surge | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
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