The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Brown: Uber expanded abroad by ignoring local regulations, causing severe backlash
“And it was just so interesting to see the complete lack of understanding of the policies and the regulations, whether it was in Europe, Saudi Arabia, you name it. And they were just like, we're just going to do it the American way and it will stick. And you're…”
Evans: Internet interoperability exists only at low infrastructure layers, not applications
“And the thing about, talking about this with the internet, like the internet is completely interoperable, At the lower levels of the stack with IP and HTTP and SSL and so on. But once you're in the browser, like if you're building Amazon, you don't need to wor…”
Evans: Silicon Valley Holds a Narrow, Selective Taboo Against Copying
“There is that sort of slightly interesting sort of actually quite narrow view in Silicon Valley of what you can and can't copy. And also it's only goes on some axes, even in Silicon Valley. So no one would say like, you know, if you're doing a two-sided market…”
Evans: Western super-apps will be focused bundles rather than WeChat clones
“It's not Facebook can turn the Facebook messenger into a universal account application that subsumes everything else on the store. It's yes, if you were to work out the right way of adding three things to Uber, that might work.”
Evans: Uber's TAM Was Far Bigger Than the Taxi Market
“There was a valuation professor who notoriously did an analysis of Uber kind of 10 years ago, where he said, you know, the valuation of Uber should be based on the fact that its TAM is the size of the taxi market, and this is, I'm going to work out the size of…”
Evans: Operational businesses like delivery and rentals require exact unit economics upfront
“Like, it's all about a very, very small narrow margin, and that's also the story for Amazon, and it's a story for grocery delivery, it's a story for all these one-hour grocery things, it's a story for restaurant delivery, it's a story for dark kitchens it's a …”