Web3

11 statements across 7 episodes · 3 bullish · 3 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Nov 8, 2021 by Benedict Evans · across every show →

Everything said about Web3, oldest first

Nov 8, 2021 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Boring enterprise SaaS will out-mint Web3 billion-dollar companies
“While tech is obsessed with Web three and metaverse, There's going to be an awful lot of billion dollar companies that do something that sounds really boring until you describe what it is and you think, oh yeah, I can see how that would be useful.”
Benedict Evans Nov 8, 2021 ▶ 26:07 How to think about tech
Nov 15, 2021 neutral
Insight
Evans: Simplifying layers inevitably centralize decentralized systems
“And so there's a whole bunch of reasons why you tend to get simplifying layers and abstracting layers and aggregating layers. You know, most people don't open a command line on their PC. They don't want to. They just want to click on the icon that says interne…”
Benedict Evans Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 18:48 What we know about web 3 so far
Nov 15, 2021 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Metaverse and Web3 will compete as parallel visions for 10-20 years
“And they're both kind of competing and in some ways parallel visions for the future of large parts of the tech industry in the next 1015, 20 years.”
Benedict Evans Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 0:46 What we know about web 3 so far
Nov 15, 2021 positive
Insight
Evans: Web3 is an effort to rebrand crypto from currency to software platform
“Web three is an attempt to Shift the discussion from saying this is digital gold and that's all it is, and it's a cryptocurrency. It's to get away from talking about currency and to say, no, it's a platform, which I think I'm, if I haven't said explicitly, lik…”
Benedict Evans Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 25:54 What we know about web 3 so far
Mar 1, 2022 positive
Insight
Evans: Web3 Enables Building Fundamentally Different Kinds of Products
“It would allow you to build, not just to build a product in a different way, but build a different kind of product, which are two different important points”
Benedict Evans Mar 1, 2022 ▶ 4:02 Talking about crypto
Apr 18, 2022 bearish
Insight
Evans: Decentralized social networks with multiple clients are an illusion
“And so this idea, which is also a web three idea, which is that you could sort of have a decentralized social network and have lots of different clients all plugging onto the same database is kind of an illusion because what's going into the database is what t…”
Benedict Evans Apr 18, 2022 ▶ 14:13 The future of Twitter
May 16, 2022 neutral
Insight
Evans: Web3 and the Metaverse Are Completely Independent Technologies
“And so I think that, you know, there's sort of a grounding point, you know, if in five to 10 years, we are all using consumer services or business services or, you know, infrastructure or something that's all running on blockchains, which is basically what we …”
Benedict Evans May 16, 2022 ▶ 3:46 Metaverse - how to be wrong in the right way
May 16, 2022 neutral
Insight
Evans: Full Web3 interoperability is impossible without making platforms identical
“You can take some on lower level components back and forth, or high level components, but you're never going to have all of them completely interoperable, because then they wouldn't, well, then they wouldn't be different things.”
Benedict Evans May 16, 2022 ▶ 14:47 Metaverse - how to be wrong in the right way
May 26, 2022 neutral
Insight
Evans: Tech has fragmented into siloed conversations with no overlap
“It used to be that you basically, the thing was to understand what was happening in web two, and then the thing is to understand what was happening in smartphones. And now there's a fintech thing. So how do we think about the intersection of Square, which is n…”
Benedict Evans May 26, 2022 ▶ 2:08 Shein, TikTok and Netflix - thinking about limits
Oct 31, 2022 negative
Insight
Evans: Designing new tech systems does not eliminate structural gatekeepers
“That's not how technology gets built. And it is sort of, and there's two problems with this. The first of them is like, you're not engaging with the complexity of why there are gatekeepers and, you know, why this stuff works like this. And all the reasons why …”
Benedict Evans Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 17:50 How many metaverses?
Oct 31, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Evans: Metaverse discourse is an inorganic, utopian wishlist rather than reality
“It's this top-down, centralized, inorganic, deterministic, predetermined, sort of ideal, republic, utopian vision of this is how the internet will work. And it's got all these kind of other ideas attached to it, like I was describing this as like Katamari Dama…”
Benedict Evans Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 20:23 How many metaverses?
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