Tesla

9 statements across 4 episodes · 2 bullish · 4 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jan 31, 2021 by Benedict Evans · said 51 times in 10 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Benedict Evans (42), Toni Cowan-Brown (8), Jay Goldberg (1)

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2023 1 mention in 1 episode
2022 6 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2021 44 mentions in 6 episodes 7 per episode

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Everything said about Tesla, oldest first

Jan 31, 2021
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Tesla market cap roughly equals top 40 auto companies combined
“Tesla's market cap is roughly equivalent to The market cap of like the top 40 companies in the auto business.”
Benedict Evans Jan 31, 2021 ▶ 12:50 Telling stories with charts
Jan 31, 2021 neutral
Insight
Evans: If Tesla is a car company it is screwed; if software, everyone else is
“Tesla, this is the argument. Is it a software company or a car company? If it's a car company, it's screwed. If it's a software company, everyone else is screwed.”
Benedict Evans Jan 31, 2021 ▶ 16:56 Telling stories with charts
Aug 15, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Tesla lacks competing models for any Fiat or Honda vehicles
“And Tesla is, has a BMW three series competitor and it has a BMW five series competitor and it has a BMW X two competitor. It doesn't have anything competitive to anything that Fiat makes. At all. Doesn't have a competitor, anything that Honda makes at all.”
Benedict Evans Aug 15, 2021 ▶ 34:48 Telcos and Tesla
Aug 15, 2021 bearish
Opinion
Evans: Tesla Risks Becoming a Subscale Legacy Automaker Like Saab
“You know, there is basically the bull argument on Tesla is it's a software company and the bear argument on, on Tesla is it's a car company. If it's a car company. Then it's basically a subscale car company and it's going to end up like sub. Great cars, but su…”
Benedict Evans Aug 15, 2021 ▶ 39:37 Telcos and Tesla
Aug 15, 2021 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2026
Evans: Legacy carmakers will be able to buy autonomy from Google
“It's much easier to say that the screen on a Tesla is an enormous challenge, or even that the autonomy is an enormous challenge, but then they'll be able to buy the autonomy from Google.”
Benedict Evans Aug 15, 2021 ▶ 26:51 Telcos and Tesla
Sep 20, 2021 bearish
Prediction Held up
Evans: Fully autonomous, driverless cars will not arrive by 2022
“Full, full, full autonomy as in a car with no steering wheel that can drive from San Francisco to San Diego while you sleep in the back and there's no seats, there's just a sofa and no windows, you know, like that kind of autonomy is five, 10, 15, 20, I don't …”
Benedict Evans Sep 20, 2021 ▶ 35:31 Apple's metronome
Sep 20, 2021 positive
Opinion
Evans: Apple faces no conceptual barriers to building a better Tesla
“That's just money and time and engineering, but there's no conceptual reason why they couldn't make a better Tesla.”
Benedict Evans Sep 20, 2021 ▶ 29:38 Apple's metronome
Sep 20, 2021 negative
Opinion
Evans: Tesla is dangerous because it claims it drives itself when it cannot
“That intermediate, weird intermediate thing is the reason a lot of people think Tesla is dangerous, because Tesla tells you it can drive itself and it can't.”
Benedict Evans Sep 20, 2021 ▶ 37:40 Apple's metronome
Nov 8, 2021 bearish
Opinion
Evans: Tesla's energy business is worthless in software vs. cars debate
“The pair of that, of course, is Tesla, where, you know, half the questions are car industry questions, and half of them are software questions, and indeed, you know, the argument about Tesla is The Tesla stock is the bulls think it's a software company and the…”
Benedict Evans Nov 8, 2021 ▶ 6:09 How to think about tech
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