Semiconductors

4 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Nov 16, 2020 by Benedict Evans · across every show →

Everything said about Semiconductors, oldest first

Nov 16, 2020 neutral
What-if
Evans: 1985 Steve Jobs Would Have Wanted to Manufacture Chips In-House
“Steve Jobs, 1985, Steve Jobs would have wanted to manufacture the semiconductors himself.”
Benedict Evans Nov 16, 2020 ▶ 15:49 The paradox of Apple
Mar 7, 2022
Assertion Supported
Evans: The automotive semiconductor shortage was driven by older-generation chips
“Well, so ironically, so, so ironically, that's a completely different issue, in that it's most, in that it's mostly older generation chips. I mean, I'm not a semiconductor analyst, but most of what this was, and particularly in, like, the car industry, this wa…”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2022 ▶ 11:36 Ukraine
Dec 19, 2022 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2032
Goldberg: Chip shrinking remains possible for roughly another 10 years
“There's still, you know, a good, I don't know, 10 years of shrinking possible.”
Jay Goldberg Dec 19, 2022 ▶ 18:23 Why are chips interesting again?
Dec 20, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: AI infrastructure may become a high-cost oligopoly without network effects
“So you've got kind of a down the stack question, which might end up looking like semiconductors or aircraft or something where it's just, there's no network effects, it's just really expensive. And maybe, you know, there's only two people who make aircraft. Th…”
Benedict Evans Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 3:25 How does OpenAI compete?
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