Crypto

18 statements across 10 episodes · 5 bullish · 2 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jul 13, 2021 by Benedict Evans · across every show →

Everything said about Crypto, oldest first

Jul 13, 2021 bullish
Opinion
Benedict Evans compares crypto and NFTs to early open source movements
“I kind of tend to compare crypto, blockchain, whatever you want to call it, a lot with open source, which had an all of that sort of millenarian fantasy, and also was very important, like half of which didn't happen, but it is very important. And, you know, th…”
Benedict Evans Jul 13, 2021 ▶ 20:49 Creativity and Optimism
Oct 18, 2021 positive
Opinion
Evans: Top tech talent builds crypto for creative potential, not just money
“And a lot of them are working on crypto, and some of them Are working on it for the money, but most of them aren't just working on it for the money, or they're working on it because they think, here is this substrate.”
Benedict Evans Oct 18, 2021 ▶ 38:15 Metaverse - beyond the buzzword
Oct 18, 2021 neutral
Insight
Evans: Metaverse is a conceptual umbrella, not an investable product
“You get a whiteboard and you write VR, AR, social, crypto, place, tradable goods, creator economy, and you draw a box around this and above the box you write metaverse. Like, okay, but that doesn't mean it exists or you can buy it or invest in it. It's just a …”
Benedict Evans Oct 18, 2021 ▶ 9:55 Metaverse - beyond the buzzword
Nov 15, 2021 neutral
Insight
Evans: NFTs are architectural software primitives, not fundamentally about art
“NFTs aren't about art either, just as crypto isn't about money. the point, you know, what we're still doing is trying to work out what the building blocks are. And so the NFT might be another building block within how a crypto social system or publishing syst…”
Benedict Evans Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 29:36 What we know about web 3 so far
Mar 1, 2022 neutral
Insight
Evans: Crypto scams proliferate because immature software was added to money
“Layered onto that, you have a huge amount of sort of scamming because basically you've added software to money and connected to the internet, and it's relatively early, immature software.”
Benedict Evans Mar 1, 2022 ▶ 5:58 Talking about crypto
Mar 1, 2022 neutral
Insight
Evans: Crypto builders must make products uniquely enabled by crypto
“Don't clone office, make Google drive. Like that's making something that where it matters that it's the internet, make something where it matters that it's crypto.”
Benedict Evans Mar 1, 2022 ▶ 18:31 Talking about crypto
Mar 1, 2022 bullish
Opinion
Evans: Crypto is in an early-80s PC era of infrastructure and bullshit
“We're at this stage now of, like, internet early, PCs early eighties, internet early nineties, Enormous amounts of bullshit, and people kind of building this plumbing, and infrastructure, and that's where all the kind of clever, interesting stuff is.”
Benedict Evans Mar 1, 2022 ▶ 22:52 Talking about crypto
Mar 1, 2022 neutral
Insight
Evans: Five-to-ten-year tech timelines are the edge of science fiction
“And in tech, when people say five to 10 years, that's sort of the edge of science fiction. It's like, yeah, this is really interesting. But we don't know yet.”
Benedict Evans Mar 1, 2022 ▶ 39:20 Talking about crypto
Mar 1, 2022 negative
Opinion
Evans: Much of Crypto's Actual Use Case Is Simply Speculating on Crypto
“And in fact, a lot of the use case of crypto is in fact speculating on crypto.”
Benedict Evans Mar 1, 2022 ▶ 1:25 Talking about crypto
Mar 1, 2022 positive
Insight
Evans: Crypto enables governance and portability impossible with standard databases
“And crypto is basically sort of SaaS meets open source. So it's all sort of running publicly in the cloud. And so you can make different applications with this. You can do these incentive structures and open governance structures and portability that you can't…”
Benedict Evans Mar 1, 2022 ▶ 17:32 Talking about crypto
Mar 1, 2022 neutral
Insight
Evans: Mainstream users will not read code, necessitating crypto abstraction
“And you read this and you think, okay, that's not a mass market consumer experience any more than the command line was, any more than open source coding was, and you can believe everyone will learn the command line and everyone will write the code, but they pr…”
Benedict Evans Mar 1, 2022 ▶ 24:46 Talking about crypto
Mar 14, 2022 neutral
Insight
Evans: Crypto Sits at the Peak of Tech's Historical Complexity Curve
“The visible complexity goes up in a kind of a bell curve. And then you reach a point by like, you know, you get GUIs and Windows and Mac and so on that the visible complexity starts going down. Even as though you carry on getting more and more plumbing underne…”
Benedict Evans Mar 14, 2022 ▶ 26:29 The Evolution of networks
Jul 18, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Web3 and crypto hype diverted tech attention from AI
“And so I sort of just, I mean, I just kind of think like with all of the attention and all the buzz and hype around like metaverse and web three and crypto and DeFi and VR, we kind of stopped paying attention to AI.”
Benedict Evans Jul 18, 2022 ▶ 3:03 Remember AI?
Dec 5, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Consumer crypto products will emerge from abstruse infrastructure within years
“There's a whole other set of people and a whole set of energy that's very nerdy in a good way, very mathematician, very people building very, very abstruse engineering infrastructure. Out of which consumer products will pop in a couple of years.”
Benedict Evans Dec 5, 2022 ▶ 37:05 ChatGPT and the Imagenet Moment
Mar 27, 2023
Insight
Evans: Crypto builds infrastructure stacks while ML builds atop existing stacks
“Creation of the stack with the enthusiasm for crypto, whereas creation at the top of the stack is the enthusiasm for machine learning.”
Benedict Evans Mar 27, 2023 ▶ 28:28 GPT-4 is here, now what?
Apr 16, 2023 neutral
Insight
Evans: Crypto resembles early 1990s internet before foundational protocols existed
“Whereas it seems to me the kind of creative energy around crypto was sort of, like, it was more like the creative energy of the internet in, like, the late eighties and early nineties. In that there was no HTTP. There was no SSL. There was no SMTP. Yes, there …”
Benedict Evans Apr 16, 2023 ▶ 24:49 Metaverse and crypto - beyond the BS
Apr 16, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: VR and crypto may need 5 to 20 years to mature
“And this may be where VR is today, and you'll come back in 20 years. Crypto may be the new open source and it's plumbing. It may, you fade away, like, you know, people who thought that open source would destroy Windows and desktop Linux. This is the year of de…”
Benedict Evans Apr 16, 2023 ▶ 37:00 Metaverse and crypto - beyond the BS
Jul 1, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Evans: 99% of crypto and NFTs were useless scams
“It wasn't all a scam. Just 99% of it was a scam and useless.”
Benedict Evans Jul 1, 2024 ▶ 24:51 The AI summer
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