The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Gerstner (in 2022): Snowflake can reach a $500B valuation by 2029
“I think this company can be worth over five hundred billion dollars over the course of the next five to seven years.”
Brad Gerstner Mar 15, 2022 ▶ 1:05:35 Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner) · Acquired
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Competition in venture capital will compress average returns while concentrating elite gains
“Like, what do I expect that, you know, will happen over the full arc of time in venture, right? We're going to compete away returns. We've already witnessed it over the course of the last couple years, right? But that just means the returns that go to the prem…”
Brad Gerstner Mar 15, 2022 ▶ 1:31:31 Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner) · Acquired
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner predicts tech ideas over next decade will dwarf past 10 years
“I think when we look back at this system in 10 years, it's gonna be more vibrant, more capital, more access, more ideas, and I think the secular curve around creative destruction and innovation has never been steeper, and the ideas over the course of the next …”
Brad Gerstner Mar 15, 2022 ▶ 1:47:07 Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner) · Acquired
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