why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
College athletics will go fully professional without congressional intervention
“To me, the model is in a place where if Congress doesn't step in and find some sort of way to stabilize this, the whole thing will probably just go professional”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Professionalized college sports will force schools to eliminate non-revenue sports
“In that world, the way most schools would react, I suspect, is they would cut every single sport that doesn't make money, except for the ones they would have to keep for Title IX purposes, and so these athletic departments would shrink dramatically.”
Prediction Held up
Rep. Gonzalez: Congress is close to legislating on stablecoins
“We're getting to a point as a Congress, which is really nice, where I feel like we're getting close to finally legislating on it, specifically around stable coins. We'll see if we get there, but I think that's sort of the first bite of the apple coming off the…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rep. Gonzalez predicts a heavy-handed SEC approach to cryptocurrency regulation
“I suspect that's how Congress will behave. I do fear that the administration will take a more heavy-handed path, mainly because the SEC chair is Pretty hostile at times in its public comments on crypto.”
Prediction Held up
Rep. Gonzalez: Congress will likely pass fiat-backed stablecoin legislation
“What I think you'll probably see is some sort of law that enshrines a quote payment stable coin. That language has been used in a couple of different bills. A payment stable coin as essentially a fiat backed stable coin.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Decarbonizing the global economy is likely a 50-year thematic tailwind
“There's certainly interesting tailwinds on the climate movement. And how do we decarbonize the economy and do it in a way that's responsible, not just for our people, but for the entire world. It's probably the biggest theme, frankly, that, you know, I think i…”