why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
College athletics will go fully professional without congressional intervention
“To me, the model is in a place where if Congress doesn't step in and find some sort of way to stabilize this, the whole thing will probably just go professional”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Professionalized college sports will force schools to eliminate non-revenue sports
“In that world, the way most schools would react, I suspect, is they would cut every single sport that doesn't make money, except for the ones they would have to keep for Title IX purposes, and so these athletic departments would shrink dramatically.”
Prediction Held up
Rep. Gonzalez: Congress is close to legislating on stablecoins
“We're getting to a point as a Congress, which is really nice, where I feel like we're getting close to finally legislating on it, specifically around stable coins. We'll see if we get there, but I think that's sort of the first bite of the apple coming off the…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rep. Gonzalez predicts a heavy-handed SEC approach to cryptocurrency regulation
“I suspect that's how Congress will behave. I do fear that the administration will take a more heavy-handed path, mainly because the SEC chair is Pretty hostile at times in its public comments on crypto.”
Prediction Held up
Rep. Gonzalez: Congress will likely pass fiat-backed stablecoin legislation
“What I think you'll probably see is some sort of law that enshrines a quote payment stable coin. That language has been used in a couple of different bills. A payment stable coin as essentially a fiat backed stable coin.”
Assertion Supported
Recent redistricting reduced toss-up seats and increased congressional district extremism
“We all just got our maps redrawn. And what happened is fewer districts are now toss ups. So there's basically fewer at play and the existing districts are now more extreme.”
Assertion Supported
US steel production has lower energy intensity than most of the world
“A ton of steel made in the United States is going to be made with less energy intensity than most parts of the world. Not all, but most, and certainly China.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Decarbonizing the global economy is likely a 50-year thematic tailwind
“There's certainly interesting tailwinds on the climate movement. And how do we decarbonize the economy and do it in a way that's responsible, not just for our people, but for the entire world. It's probably the biggest theme, frankly, that, you know, I think i…”
Assertion Partly supported
Rep. Gonzalez raised roughly $600K in his first month campaigning
“And so I think we ended up raising roughly 600,000 in the first month, which was good as a good, you can only raise it in 5000, well, 2700 dollar chunks.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Castro's regime offered Rep. Gonzalez's grandfather a Cuban judgeship
“Once Castro took over, he, not directly, but through one of his lieutenants, offered my grandfather a position to run one of the courts. It's basically like a district court in Cuba. My grandfather turned him down because he kind of saw Castro for who he was, …”
Assertion Supported
Gonzalez played for Ohio State while his father played for Michigan
“I ended up playing at Ohio state. He played at Michigan. So he went, went to Michigan, but he played for Bo Schembechler.”