supercuts / didnt-hold-up
Didn’t hold up
The most confident predictions the public record went against, highest certainty first. · 20 clips, 4 minutes, hands free.
0:00 / 0:08exact quote · 8.2s
1/20Dixon: Sugar will be the biggest killer of this generation
Chris Dixon · 2019Didn’t hold upfull source →
1Dixon: Sugar will be the biggest killer of this generationChris Dixon · 8sDidn’t hold up
2Riccitiello: Viewers will walk inside 3D movie scenes within three yearsJohn Riccitiello · 12sDidn’t hold up
3Andreessen: 5 to 7 billion people will own smartphones by 2020Marc Andreessen · 40sDidn’t hold up
4Stephenson: Lamina1 will require node operators to purchase verified carbon creditsNeal Stephenson · 17sDidn’t hold up
5Sensor and machine data volume will expand by orders of magnitudePeter Levine · 8sDidn’t hold up
6Postma: Canva will launch brand-trained AI tools within 3 monthsDanny Postma · 3sDidn’t hold up
7Dixon: CAD software will move to VR within two yearsChris Dixon · 4sDidn’t hold up
8Sanchez: One in four Americans will be Hispanic within a few yearsLoretta Sanchez · 6sDidn’t hold up
9Paul Krugman predicts only one or two cryptocurrencies will survivePaul Krugman · 5sDidn’t hold up
10Andreessen: Every person globally will own a smartphone by decade's endMarc Andreessen · 22sDidn’t hold up
11Evans: On-device AI models will fail as capability gains outpace compressionBenedict Evans · 8sDidn’t hold up
12Pope: Driving is the largest U.S. profession and will be automated awayCarl Pope · 4sDidn’t hold up
13Smith: Amazon will restrict same-day delivery to groceries and next-day elsewhereMike Smith · 10sDidn’t hold up
14DoD will soon stop launching traditional GPS satellitesAsh Carter · 3sDidn’t hold up
15Fielding: Privateer is launching its own satellite constellationAlex Fielding · 5sDidn’t hold up
16Postma: Social media will integrate AI clothing try-ons within yearsDanny Postma · 20sDidn’t hold up
17Zhao: Sandbox VR will expand from 14 to 50 rooms by year-endSteve Zhao · 8sDidn’t hold up
18Evans predicts Apple VR and cars are two to four years away.Benedict Evans · 12sDidn’t hold up
19Bahl: India's retail market will hit $1 trillion by 2019Kunal Bahl · 7sDidn’t hold up
20Chen: Tesla Gigafactory will surpass pre-2013 global battery output by 2020Frank Chen · 11sDidn’t hold up