The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Tenev: Robinhood plans to take its investment vehicle, Robinhood Ventures, public
“We're working to solve this problem through tokenization in, in the EU and also through Robinhood Ventures in the US, which is a closed-down fund that we're gonna be taking public.”
Vlad Tenev Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 42:01 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Prediction markets are currently Robinhood's fastest-growing business segment
“Like who would have guessed two years ago that prediction markets would be our fastest growing business.”
Vlad Tenev Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 52:28 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Google's internal prediction market accurately forecast product launches
“Google had an internal prediction market where people would speculate on which products would actually ship on their ship dates, and it was a much more accurate .”
Vlad Tenev Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 1:02:46 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
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