why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Young: Owner spent $14M on 3D BIM, but inspectors demanded paper 2D drawings
“On one of the projects I was on, the owner paid something like fourteen million dollars for us to essentially play Tetris inside the model. We went into the field, and the inspectors came out and said, hey, look at my stamp, look at my signature. It's on the t…”
Assertion Supported
Young: Top construction firms employ only 5% of all builders
“The top construction firms, the ones who employ over 10,000 field workers, hire only five percent of all builders. Whereas in services or manufacturing, the top firms, they're employing like 25% of the industry.”
Assertion Supported
Young: Construction labor productivity is lower today than 60 years ago
“We are less productive today than we were 20 years ago than we were 60 years ago, and it's completely unbelievable.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Young: Traditional bathroom construction requires 10 to 20 separate subcontractors
“It takes somewhere between 10 to 20 different subcontractors that touches a bathroom, which is crazy, right? You only think of like, you know, maybe the plumbers but there's the concrete subcontractor, there's a mechanical subcontractor, the electricians, the …”
Assertion Supported
Young: General contractor margins are only 1% to 3%
“Their margins for a general contractor are something like one to three percent.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Young: Global infrastructure will fail within a decade without productivity gains
“Construction is the infrastructure of this world, and if we're unable to figure out how to solve this productivity problem, we'll be unable to deliver the infrastructure that this world needs, not in the next 15 years, in the next decade.”
Disclosure
Young: A $150M Bay Area project generated 15,000 blueprint sheets
“On a hundred fifty million dollar project in the Bay Area, we have seen 15,000 sheets of blueprints.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Young: Off-site modular bathroom fabrication saves two weeks on building schedules
“They can fabricate 20 of these things and then drop it into the building and then gain two weeks in the schedule versus trying to get one scope done at a time and then sequencing everyone in.”
Assertion Supported
Young: Construction represents 13% of global economic output
“Construction accounts for 13% of global output.”
Assertion Partly supported
Young: One in 10 people globally works in construction
“Literally one out of every 10 people in the world eat, sleep, and breathe construction every single day.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Young: Projects over $50M require building physical mock-up rooms
“Something that always gets specced into larger projects, let's say anything over fifty million dollars or more, is the concept of a mock-up room. They'll take the most common rooms, let's say bathrooms or in a hospital exam rooms, and they'll build a physical …”