The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 46 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Traditional private equity drawdown funds deliver net returns comparable to municipal bonds
“What I don't like about drawdown funds, the traditional private equity fund is, you know, you commit to them, they charge your management fees for a while, They find a deal, they draw it down, so your money's not been in the ground for a few years. And then a …”
Goldman Sachs should have prevented KKR's rise in private equity
“There was no reason, really, that a KKR or a Forsman Little that were the big players back then should ever have existed. Your old firm Goldman should have beaten them.”
Tony James: DLJ merchant banking wasted away under Credit Suisse
“Once it got put into a Swiss bank, they had all of the institutional issues and the lack of commitment to the principal business that all the other big firms had, so it kind of started to waste away”
Charlie Munger: Newspapers are depleting oil wells; WSJ is a trade journal
“This is not a business, Tony. It's an oil well. It's depleting to zero. And I said, well, What about the Wall Street Journal? Well, that's not a newspaper. That's a trade journal.”
Blackstone wrote off one-third of a private equity fund before 2002
“The private equity business, they'd raised a fund and had made a couple of disastrous investors so that, that were within a year write-offs with about a third of the fund.”
James: Blackstone's retail network is an irreplicable dominant strategic asset
“That I think is the, now the one, the dominant strategic asset that Blackstone has that no one else can really replicate. Because no one else has the breadth of product so that you're always in the market.”
James: Every Blackstone acquisition succeeded, returning at least 3-4x
“Every one of our acquisitions worked. There were two that didn't really move the needle strategically, but we made a very good return on the investment. We probably made three or four times our money.”
Tony James: High ethical norms protect firms better than heavy compliance layers
“Putting more controls in doesn't necessarily protect you. That a lot of it, if you have good people, and you trust them, and you hold them to very high ethical standards, and that becomes the behavioral norm, That's much better than having lots of watchers and…”
DLJ had zero ethical lapses while Credit Suisse failed despite massive compliance
“Credit Suisse had all kinds of ethical lapses. DLJ had none, but they had immense controllers and process and whatnot. DLJ was skeletal.”
Private market correction will not trigger a 2008-style systemic crisis
“I, you know, so I think there'll be some correction in private markets, but it's not going to be 2008 where you were destabilizing the system because it's not owned by banks at 30 to one leverage or these days the leverage is lower, but plenty were 20 to 30 to…”
30,000 mid-market private equity portfolio companies worth $20T need liquidity
“I think I think one of the great opportunities right now is there's about 30,000 portfolio companies of mid-market private equity firms that can't be sold, can't go public, there's no strategy. You know, 20 trillion or something worth of value. All those compa…”
James: DLJ controlled 40% of high-yield trading for 12 years
“We accounted for all, 40% of all trading volume and high yield for 12 years.”
DLJ extracted $400M in equity the day after the Household buyout
“I think it was the third biggest LBO ever called we bought the retailing subsidiaries from Household International. We ended up with Vons and Ben Franklin and TGI and Coast to Coast Hardware Stores, and we sliced and diced and sold them all, and we closed, and…”
James: DLJ timed the market peak, selling for $14B cash
“But we sold it for fourteen billion of cash, and two or three years later Morgan Stanley sold for eight.”
Tony James: Investment committees define Blackstone's culture and rigor
“And also, for a firm like Blackstone, it's investment committees that are the cultural crucible of what defines the firm.”
James: Blackstone employs 500 people in retail distribution unit
“There's no other firm that could have afforded to build the retail distribution. We have 500 people in that.”
Blackstone imposed an unprecedented eight-year stock lockup at its IPO
“We did that first of all, by basically telling people they can't sell any stock for eight years.”
James: Blackstone lost no key partners for eight years post-IPO
“And we didn't lose anyone that we didn't want to lose for eight years.”
Blackstone turned a $119M acquisition into a $120B secondary business
“So we bought it for a hundred and nineteen million. It's a hundred and twenty billion dollar business today. It's worth tens of billions.”
James: Never buy fully built franchises where you pay for prior growth
“We'd never wanted to buy a fully built out franchise where you're paying someone else for all the growth. We wanted to deliver the growth, the value of the growth to our shareholders.”
Tony James: Early investment signals are never obvious before being priced in
“If you're going to catch the signals early, they're never obvious. By the time they're obvious, it's priced in.”
Tony James: DLJ had $29B AUM when sold to Credit Suisse
“And that, and we built that business when we sold DOJ to Credit Suisse, it was about a twenty-nine billion dollar AUM business. Blackstone at the time was high teens”
DLJ risked 40% of firm equity per bridge loan in 2000
“Our success in, in, in high yield and private equity meant we'd running out of balance sheet. Our bridge fund was one billion dollars, and all of a sudden you were doing one billion dollar bridge loans, so you can do one deal at a time, and if one mistake and …”
Tony James: Costco co-founder Jim Sinegal is among the best executives ever
“Jim was one of the best executives I've ever met. Maybe, maybe the best.”
Tony James: Most investors hold assets too long, whereas I sell early
“One thing I learned is a lot of people, I think, hold things too long. I probably sell too early.”
James: Backing pre-revenue founders creates a permanent co-founder identity
“When you find a couple of executives and back them before there's a company, before there's a, Dollar of revenue. Before there's an order. You feel as much as they do that you're a founder.”
Costco passes 100% of supplier cost savings directly to customers
“So the more value we give, so whatever, if Costco can go find a new source for batteries and save a nickel, a hundred percent of that nickel gets lower prices. None of it goes into higher margin.”
Tony James: Entrepreneurs tend to reassert control once firm crises fade
“Like so many entrepreneurs, I, we've all seen this, right, where they say they'll, or they want to bring someone in, and there were issues with around Blackstone at the time and all the businesses, but then once, once those issues are kind of fade, then the en…”
Fewer than 1 in 100 founders willingly relinquish operational control
“To give that Element of control, that level of control to someone else. Not one in a hundred would have done that.”
Blackstone grew its valuation from $1B to $170B under Tony James
“AIG had just put a hundred million dollars into Blackstone for 10% of the company and the rights to invest in our funds. So, at best, it was worth a billion dollars, and when I left, it was worth a 170.”
Tony James Replaced Almost Every Business Leader Upon Arriving at Blackstone
“I think virtually every, the leader of every business almost was changed, because a lot of culture comes from leadership.”
Tony James: Single CIO approval bottlenecks do not scale in investing
“One CIO that was a very smart guy, but a bottleneck. And it wasn't a scalable model.”
James: Endowments allocate 50% to alternatives compared to 2% for retail
“Institutions have generally 25% of their assets in, in alternatives, let's say. The more sophisticated ones, like endowments, are 50. Retail was at two percent.”
Pre-IPO Blackstone was structured as 173 independent partnerships
“Blackstone wasn't a firm. It was a 173 independent partnerships, all with different percentage ownerships. Every fund had a different percentage ownership than every other fund.”
James: Blackstone spent $75M annually on corporate overhead for IPO
“Added seventy-five million dollars a year at the time to our operating cost, which is not nothing, a lot more today.”
James: Prepared Blackstone IPO in secret for nine months
“Steve delegated to me, and I did really with no one else in the firm actually helping for nine months. I did it at night, and worked out all this with bankers, outside bankers and lawyers, but not internal people.”
Tony James says he once managed 50 direct reports to minimize hierarchy
“I had at one point, I think, 50 direct reports.”
Tony James: Leadership transition is the Achilles' heel of asset managers
“Leadership transition is the Achilles heel of an alternative, of any asset manager, in my opinion.”
Tony James: Executives must step down before company growth tops out
“I believe you've got to move out of that seat while the company's still, while you have plenty of gas and you're still at the peak of your performance and the company's still on the rise. If you wait till it tops out, you're gonna lose momentum for a while bef…”
James: HBCU graduates earn 50% higher lifetime income than non-HBCU graduates
“So eight percent of African Americans that go to college go to HBCUs. But 16% of black graduates graduate from HBCUs. So twice the graduation rate. And then those graduates earn, on average, 50% higher lifetime income than black graduates of non-HBCUs.”
Tony James: DLJ grew over 15% annually for 25 consecutive years
“We grew DLJ from essentially nothing to the fifth largest securities firm. We grew it at over 15% for 25 consecutive years.”
Tony James: KKR's Houdaille transaction was the first major public LBO
“The big turning point, I would say, was 1980 when KKR did a LBO for Hudai Industries, the first big public company that went, actually, was taken private.”
Tony James reveals DLJ made early investments in Starbucks alongside Costco
“Starbucks too, by the way.”