The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Ullyot: The incoming Republican-led FCC will massively modify net neutrality rules
“So it's been a Democrat commission, Democrat-dominated, three-two commission, and now it's going to flip and be three-two Republican, and the FCC series of Rules about net neutrality will, at minimum, be massively modified by the incoming administration.”
Ted Ullyot Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:57 a16z Podcast | Of Presidents, Policies, and Tech
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ullyot: Federal deregulation will shift tech policy authority to state governments
“On balance, there'll be fewer instances in which a federal regulation preempts to set aside and overrule a state law or to obviate the need for a state law. So you'll have more opportunities for state legislatures and governors, just state governments generall…”
Ted Ullyot Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:09 a16z Podcast | Of Presidents, Policies, and Tech
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ullyot: Corporate tax repatriation will drive tech M&A and R&D
“Laws will be changed to allow that money to be repatriated at lower tax rates. It'll be attractive to, for American companies to bring that money back. And one potential outcome of that is a very good thing for tech in particular, which would be a lot of, Larg…”
Ted Ullyot Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:14 a16z Podcast | Of Presidents, Policies, and Tech
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ullyot: U.S. trade restrictions will hit physical goods, not software
“I think most of the impact as I see it of the trade talk would be on physical goods rather than software, especially when it's delivered no longer by, you know, long, long ago, you know, when it was, you could stop a shipment of discs at the border. That was o…”
Ted Ullyot Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:16 a16z Podcast | Of Presidents, Policies, and Tech
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ullyot: Congress and Trump may substantially rein in or eliminate the CFPB
“Now that you have a change of administration, it's conceivable that the Congress and President Trump will substantially rein in the CFPB, if not eliminate it altogether.”
Ted Ullyot Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 34:29 a16z Podcast | Of Presidents, Policies, and Tech
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ullyot: FDA under Trump will speed up trial approvals for healthcare tech
“Presumably will be an FDA that'll be more likely to approve experimentation and special trials to get beneficial drugs and technologies out into the market sooner.”
Ted Ullyot Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 36:52 a16z Podcast | Of Presidents, Policies, and Tech
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