The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Butterfield: Facebook at Work will fail to replace internal email
“This is, by the way, what I'm thinking is probably gonna happen with Facebook at work, too. It wasn't quite sufficient to replace email usage internally, or it wasn't quite sufficient to replace use of messaging internally, or whatever it is.”
Stuart Butterfield Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:25 a16z Podcast | Tools for How We Work Today
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2045
Butterfield: Heavy email usage will continue for at least 30-40 years
“And I want to just stress, because we get this in headlines quite a bit, that we want to be an email killer. Not going away. We've got, you know, at least three or four decades left of heavy email uses because it is lowest common denominator, and I mean that i…”
Stuart Butterfield Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:19 a16z Podcast | Tools for How We Work Today
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Butterfield: Knowledge teams relying on internal email will lose to competitors
“But I think if you use email as your primary means of communication internally for the kinds of knowledge worker, for lack of a better term, teams that use Slack, that's, you're foolish. I mean, and it's such a big disadvantage that you will eventually be made…”
Stuart Butterfield Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:38 a16z Podcast | Tools for How We Work Today
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2046
Butterfield: Email will survive for at least three to four decades
“Email crosses organizational boundaries very well. It's how we set up this conversation. It's how people like us will set up conversations like this 10 years from now in the future. And internet, I mean, sorry, email will probably be around You know, three, fo…”
Stuart Butterfield Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:39 a16z Podcast | Nobody Discusses Work Software Outside of Work -- and Then There’s Slack
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Butterfield: Enterprise clients will yield higher margins and revenue for Slack
“And I think over time we will have higher margins from those customers and they'll represent a greater percentage of our total revenue versus the total users.”
Stuart Butterfield Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:06 a16z Podcast | Nobody Discusses Work Software Outside of Work -- and Then There’s Slack
Prediction Held up
Butterfield: I will never build a gaming company again
“No. I'm done. That's it.”
Stuart Butterfield Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:43 a16z Podcast | Nobody Discusses Work Software Outside of Work -- and Then There’s Slack
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