why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Butterfield: Facebook at Work will fail to replace internal email
“This is, by the way, what I'm thinking is probably gonna happen with Facebook at work, too. It wasn't quite sufficient to replace email usage internally, or it wasn't quite sufficient to replace use of messaging internally, or whatever it is.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2045
Butterfield: Heavy email usage will continue for at least 30-40 years
“And I want to just stress, because we get this in headlines quite a bit, that we want to be an email killer. Not going away. We've got, you know, at least three or four decades left of heavy email uses because it is lowest common denominator, and I mean that i…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Butterfield: Knowledge teams relying on internal email will lose to competitors
“But I think if you use email as your primary means of communication internally for the kinds of knowledge worker, for lack of a better term, teams that use Slack, that's, you're foolish. I mean, and it's such a big disadvantage that you will eventually be made…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2046
Butterfield: Email will survive for at least three to four decades
“Email crosses organizational boundaries very well. It's how we set up this conversation. It's how people like us will set up conversations like this 10 years from now in the future. And internet, I mean, sorry, email will probably be around You know, three, fo…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Butterfield: Enterprise clients will yield higher margins and revenue for Slack
“And I think over time we will have higher margins from those customers and they'll represent a greater percentage of our total revenue versus the total users.”
Prediction Held up
Butterfield: I will never build a gaming company again
“No. I'm done. That's it.”