The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sinofsky predicts cars sold in 2019 are the last requiring human drivers
“If you, I look at the automobiles today, and I think that the ones that are being sold today are the very last cars that are going to basically require a driver.”
Sinofsky: The US produces no domestic drone parts, relying on foreign rivals
“All of a sudden, drones are the most important thing, and like, all of a sudden, we were like, we don't even, we don't, not just, we don't make the drone, we don't make any of the parts for the drone. Yeah. And they're all made, the only person who makes them …”
Sinofsky: Only Samsung and LG can manufacture full home appliance suites
“God, that means that all of these companies are gonna have to make all of those parts, and there are only two companies that can do that, which is Samsung and LG.”
Sinofsky: Microsoft shut down Hotmail in China over server access demands
“Like, we had to shut down Hotmail for forever because, like, we wouldn't let them see the data center servers, which weren't even in China, and all sorts of complexities.”
Sinofsky: Geoffrey Hinton could not get neural net funding in 1989
“In, in, like, in 1989, like, Hinton couldn't get funded trying to do neural nets.”
Sinofsky: Macs account for nearly half of the US laptop market
“Macs are, you know, half the laptop market in the U.S. At this point.”