The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Cheney: Starbucks will be entirely barista-less by 2024
“I would likely suggest that Starbucks will be like barista-less in five years.”
Steve Cheney Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:10 a16z Podcast | Location, Location, Location -- and Mobile
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cheney: Mobile devices could become proactive 'first brains' for users
“The phone the watch and these devices, right, it's now an extension of us as a human being. So to some extent we think about this as like it could become the first brain. It could be something that it decides what's going on before you sort of tell it to.”
Steve Cheney Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:08 a16z Podcast | Location, Location, Location -- and Mobile
Prediction Held up
Steve Cheney: GPS signals will not penetrate building walls by 2024
“In five years, I can guarantee you that the phone will still not understand it's in the building because of a new GPS signal that can now penetrate walls. It will not physically happen.”
Steve Cheney Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:52 a16z Podcast | Location, Location, Location -- and Mobile
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