The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Tseng: Shield AI Updated Software in 24 Hours for HIMARS Strike
“In the span of 24 hours, the engineering team re-architected the stack to not use GPS at any point in the mission. We validated it at our Texas facilities, and then we pushed it forward, and 24 hours later the team took off and then conducted a demonstration t…”
Ryan Tseng Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 30:48 Drone Warfare: The New Rules of Combat Are Here
Prediction Held up
Tseng: Shield AI Will License AI Pilots to Defense Hardware Makers
“When we thought about the next 10 years, the question was, like, is the future really about Shield AI building the world's best AI pilot, or is it about making a contribution to the industrial base so that, you know, everybody that's building these systems You…”
Ryan Tseng Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 25:37 Drone Warfare: The New Rules of Combat Are Here
Assertion Partly supported
Room clearing remains among the deadliest post-9/11 military operations
“Clearing buildings of threats has been one of the most costly missions for U.S. Forces in terms of human life. And one of the most costly missions for civilians in terms of human life since post-nine-eleven.”
Ryan Tseng Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:58 a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service
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