The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chi: Enterprise AI token spend may start to eclipse salary spend
“Token spend may start to eclipse salary spend.”
Ryan Chi Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 18:13 Inside the Race to Measure Frontier Intelligence
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chi: Legible enterprise evals will be AI adoption's biggest long-term bottleneck
“And I think long-term that will be actually the biggest bottleneck, our ability to take companies and their evals and make them legible because that's how we'll figure out what signal we hill climb on and where we actually adopt.”
Ryan Chi Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 6:41 Inside the Race to Measure Frontier Intelligence
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chi: High-Performing Coding Agents Will Also Automate Excel and PowerPoint Tasks
“I think coding is a sign for what's to come in every domain. And a lot of the primitives established there are carrying over to other places. You know, if you have a very good coding agent chances are you have a model that can also make PowerPoint slides or DC…”
Ryan Chi Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 21:56 Inside the Race to Measure Frontier Intelligence
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