The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Dalio: The bottom 60 percent of Americans have seen no income growth
“There is the top 40% and the bottom 60%. And if you just carve out and you say, what is the economy and life like of the bottom 60%? There hasn't been income growth, prospects of having a better life than your parents.”
Ray Dalio Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 46:08 a16z Podcast | Principles and Algorithms for Work and Life
Assertion Supported
Dalio: Designed the commodity hedging strategy behind McDonald's Chicken McNugget launch
“I contributed to the economic risk of being able to come out with a Chicken McNugget. Because it came out at a time when there was a lot of commodity price volatility, and McDonald's wanted to come out with a chicken McNugget, but they couldn't lock in a price…”
Ray Dalio Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:49 a16z Podcast | Principles and Algorithms for Work and Life
Prediction Partly held up
Dalio: Planning an app to crowdsource and vote on decision-making principles
“What I'm planning to do is to get the best principles from everybody and then make that all available on an app in which then people can then vote up what are the best principles for that particular thing that they're encountering, and so then when that thing …”
Ray Dalio Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 49:20 a16z Podcast | Principles and Algorithms for Work and Life
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