why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2068
Akella: Total factory job replacement by robots is multiple lifetimes away
“So if you do this math and you take the three forty million, roughly divided by six jobs per, you're looking at sixty million robots before you can wipe out all of mankind in any production facility. It ain't gonna happen in my lifetime. I don't see it happeni…”
Insight
Akella: Hiding AI features from users drives greater product adoption
“And by actually hiding AI, you actually drive greater usage. And I would argue that good AI company does is to hide it.”
Assertion Partly supported
Akella: General Motors team created the collaborative robot category
“We created an entire category called collaborative robots.”
Insight
Akella: Data-driven programming is the biggest technology shift in 25 years
“It's really data that's driving programming now. It's not logic. And that I think is the single biggest change that I've seen happen over the last 25 years.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Akella: Human workers will remain essential in factories for the long haul
“I really think that's where people and machines on the floor continue, and I think people are here for the long haul.”
Insight
Akella: Model generalization is the primary bottleneck to scaling AI
“I think the central challenge in front of us is how do you actually get these models to generalize across broader swaths of industry? So when we solve a problem today, we look at it in a much narrower context, we solve it, and we look for how much of that can …”
Assertion Contradicted
Akella: The Ford F-150 truck has one trillion possible build combinations
“So if you take the most popular truck in America, it's the F one 50, the Ford F one 50. It turns out there are a trillion build combinations of that vehicle. Right? So, you have different engines, you have different seats, you have different radios, you know, …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Akella: Industrial engineers spend 30 percent of their time collecting data
“The bulk of the population just spends, according to our customers, 30% of their time just getting data.”