why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yang: Coding Will Eat All Knowledge Work
“I feel like coding will eat all knowledge work.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yang: AI Agents Will Shrink Product Teams to Two or Three People
“And instead of having like a ten-person product team, you have like a two or three-person product team and you have a bunch of agents to help Help you.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yang: Task-Oriented Apps Will Decline Before Entertainment Apps
“I think the ones that are gonna dive first or, like, maybe get less usage first is, like, apps that you're just opening to try to complete a task. Like, you actually are trying to do something, you know. Like, apps that you're opening to, like, get entertainme…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yang Wants His Kids to Build Businesses and Skip College
“That, that, that's my plan for my kids, dude. Like, I want them to just build, like bootstrap businesses in high, high school. And they can skip the whole college and, like corporate life.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yang: Slack will remain durable as a control plane for AI agents
“I don't think, I feel like Slack has a lot of legs, because Slack can also be the place where you talk to the agents themselves.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yang: Designers Who Ignore Vibe Coding Will Soon Be Obsolete
“As a designer, you kind of need to learn how to vibe code. Otherwise, you're going to, like, if you want to know how to do Figma, like, you're probably going to be, like, out of date in a couple of years.”
Prediction Held up
Yang: OpenAI Will Integrate Personal Agent Capabilities Directly Into ChatGPT
“I mean, I think that's what Peter Steinberg is working out at OpenAI, right? Yeah. He's probably going to build something to ChatGPT, which everybody uses so that ChatGPT can actually get stuff done for you and, like, maybe feels more human.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yang: Workforce will transition from mega-corporations to solopreneurs and smaller firms
“I feel like there's gonna be a transition from, like, these, like, 10,000 plus people companies. Laying a lot of people off to hopefully, like, more smaller companies like solopreneurs and stuff like that.”