The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 33 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disk drives, tape drives, and SSDs will all go away
“We will have much more in-memory data, systems that literally live in real memory, and the notion of disk drives and tape drives and even SSDs will all go away.”
Levine: The replacement of cloud computing is already underway
“About six months ago, I started to think, well, what happens when cloud computing goes away? You know, of course, to myself, I'm like, well, it's so popular, and now how could it go away? I think it's actually happening right under our nose, and let me show yo…”
Levine: Machine learning applications will execute at edge endpoints, not the cloud
“So the only way that we can look into an image or look into the massive amounts of data is with machine learning, and that machine learning, the algorithms and the applications employing machine learning will run at the end point. It's not going to be machine …”
Levine: The explosion of sensor data will kill the cloud
“Sensor data explosion will kill the cloud. Sensors are going to produce massive amounts of data. The existing infrastructure will not be able to handle the data volumes or the rates, and data is going to be stuck at the edge, and computing is going to move alo…”
Levine: Non-technical domain experts manipulating data will be the next programmers
“By using data, and having folks optimize the data, they actually become the next generation of programmers. They're not trained as programmers. They won't even know what a program really is. They're all manipulating data in the context by which they are famili…”
Levine: Data science will replace traditional coding as computer science foundation
“You know, I think that data science will become the new academic approach in computer science. There'll be less coding and more about data science. New algorithms for data science, new Approaches to understand the world around us. So, you know, we can call thi…”
Levine: Computing and analytics will shift from the cloud to edge devices
“And I think the Internet of Things and drones and however you want to define these, this sort of range of computers that exist not so much in our pocket but out there in the world, I believe that there's going to be computing that will be fundamental to how we…”
Levine: Mobile hardware supply chains will replace PC architectures in data centers
“What I'm specifically talking about with respect to the consumerization of IT is the idea that the components of mobile devices will become the basis for hardware in the data center of the future. And so, not unlike we saw the PC revolution replace mainframes …”
Levine: Mobile phone components will form the basis of future data centers
“Mobile, the components of mobile phones will become the basis of the next generation data center. Really, really inexpensive, sort of, you know, cheap components that require a lot less power, floor space, cooling, But all of that stuff being sort of connected…”
Levine: On-premise datacenters will disappear in favor of cloud models
“I think that the economics and the way that data centers are going to be built is going to drive everyone to private or public clouds, and the notion of the on-prem data center starts to disappear.”
Levine: Cloud service models will dominate all open-source software segments
“So that model is exactly what I believe is going to happen at every segment of the open source market will be around.”
Levine: Real-time data processing will need to occur at the edge
“The other part is, so it's real-world information coupled with the idea that real-time data processing will need to occur at the edge where the information is being collected.”
Levine: Computing architecture is returning to a distributed edge intelligence model
“Believe it or not, we are returning to an edge intelligence distributed computing model that's absolutely thematic with the trends in computing of moving from centralized back out to distributed.”
Levine: Total connected computing devices will expand into the trillions
“I can imagine a world where there will be trillions of devices out there. So if you think about the challenges of management, security, data, all of the issues of distributed computing, that's now going to, it's the opportunity and the challenge of what we're …”
Levine: Data processing and key decision-making will shift to edge devices
“Important information will still get stored in a centralized cloud, but much of the processing in this new world will move out to the edge, and that's where the most important decisions will get made at the edge.”
Peter Levine predicts return to decentralized peer-to-peer computing models
“We are absolutely going to return To a peer to peer computing model where the edge devices connect together, creating a network of endpoint devices, not unlike we saw in the original sort of distributed computing model.”
Levine: Next generation of coders will be mathematicians, not logic writers
“The other thing is that we are going to move to a world of Data-centric programming. It's kind of interesting in the same way that, you know, I believe that cloud disaggregates into this new model. We're teaching everyone to code now, and we're teaching everyo…”
Levine: LiDAR sensor costs will eventually fall to 50 cents
“The first LiDAR for a Google car was 75,000 dollars. Now LIDAR is sub 500 dollars, and I'll bet you, and this is just like, there are no self-driving cars out there. I bet you it goes to 50 cents in the not-too-distant future.”
Levine: Individuals will control and monetize personal data via open markets
“And so, I think there will be a lot of cases where data becomes the purview of each individual, And we will choose how we want to go dispense it, and I think in certain cases, our data and what we produce will become valuable to consumers, and there'll be a ma…”
Levine: Data-driven programming models will proliferate across industry within a year
“And so I'll leave you with that, and next year we can revisit this. I guarantee you it will start to proliferate through the industry in the same way that some of the other things are.”
Sensor and machine data volume will expand by orders of magnitude
“It will be literally orders of magnitude and in the exact mathematical sense, orders of magnitude, more data that needs to be stored in process.”
Levine: Spinning hard disk drives will be completely phased out
“Spinning disks are going away, okay?”
Levine: The Open-Source Market Is Far Bigger Than Currently Realized
“And if we think of open source that way, the renaissance is really only beginning, and the market is far bigger than we have yet created or yet realized.”
Levine: Data-driven digital assistants will augment workers across all professions
“I mean, in some ways it's already happening. There are companies out there who look at Salesforce productivity, looking at the most productive salespeople in an organization, learn what they do, modify that, and then go give that information to, so where every…”
Edge endpoints will process data locally instead of centralized streaming
“If you think about the new world of distributed computing, the data that gets collected in a self-driving car or some endpoint is going to be, the information will be processed at that endpoint. It won't be translated back to a central storage pool. The inform…”
Levine: Application-aware big data will drive the next software wave
“I believe that Application aware big data is sort of the next driver in this space, and we'll get, we will get an application layer that will become very intelligent as a result of this underlying big data.”
Levine: Mobile hardware will solve data center power and cooling constraints
“Power and cooling are critical elements in designing a data center these days, so to the extent that we can go design a data center that uses much less power, requires much less cooling is optimizing on floor space, those are the ingredients for massive scale-…”
Levine: Flash storage costs will soon reach parity with spinning media
“We can literally see in the not too distant future the cost of flash storage devices being the same price as, you know, spinning media, and that's going to be very compelling.”
Levine: Every datacenter of the future will be scale-out architecture
“Every data center of the future will be a scale out data center, right? Applications are going to change. The user base is going to need that as, you know, again, mobile, and then we start to think about Internet of Things as, You know, collecting all this inf…”
Levine: Future autonomous vehicles will house hundreds of onboard computers
“A self-driving car in the not-to-existent future may have a hundred of these cards, maybe 200 of these computers that are inside the card.”
Levine: Edge computing deployment begins with autonomous cars and drones
“It's starting with cars and drones, and it will proliferate to lots of other devices in the not too distant future.”
Levine: The centralized cloud's primary future role will be training machine learning
“The cloud is going to be all about learning. And that happens centrally. So I'm going to take all of this information that I have out at the edge, I'm going to connect these devices, I'll curate that information, and learning will occur centrally, and then pro…”