why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Diamandis: Heavy legacy organizations will likely not survive the 2020s
“The difficulty is we're going to see such massive disruption in this decade. Right, so if you're a large organization with the layers of management and a massive lead keel of assets and resources that you can't offload during ups and downs you're likely not to…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Diamandis: Large corporations will survive by acquiring innovation, not building internally
“But it's going to be that the larger corporations are going to be surviving by buying innovation versus creating it inside in-house.”
Prediction Held up
Diamandis: XPRIZE competition aims to reverse human biological age by 20 years
“My biggest area right now is reinventing, disrupting healthcare a health span XPRIZE reverse your biological age or your functional age by 20 years, right?”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Diamandis: Proliferation of AI and robotics will lead to Universal Basic Income
“And so we probably will have some version of universal basic income. Coming down as more robots and AIs come online”
Assertion Contradicted
Diamandis: Emad Mostaque is running a countrywide AI education experiment in Malawi
“And by the way, you might as working on that right now, right? He's looking to provide every child in the nation of Malawi, a countrywide experiment.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamandis: Generative AI is spawning tens of thousands of single-person startups
“Generative AI right now, which is a tool that's spawning not thousands, maybe tens of thousands of new startups you know, individual single person startups out of no place”
Assertion Contradicted
Diamandis: OpenAI operates as a 130-person company
“Open AI is a 130 person company.”
Assertion Supported
XPRIZE launches competition to detect and extinguish wildfires within 10 minutes
“We just launched an XPRIZE for wildfires. You can monitor a thousand square kilometers, detect a wildfire, add ignition, and put it out 10 minutes automatically.”
Assertion Partly supported
Diamandis: In 1996, Kodak had a $28B market cap and 140,000 employees
“So Kodak in 1996, the top of its game, the twenty eight billion dollar market cap, 140,000 employees.”