The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Patrick Byrne predicts a 2008-level economic crisis within two to three years
“I also think there's going to be quite soon a big, in the next two or three years, a big disruption in our economy. I think in oh eight or worse is going to happen, and with each disruption, people will shift farther into online, and then it ratchets.”
Patrick Byrne Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 34:45 a16z Podcast | Wall Street's Most Hated Man -- A Conversation With Overstock.com's Patrick Byrne
Assertion Contradicted
Overstock launched a partner drop-shipping marketplace years before Amazon
“And thus began our partner program. We were the first to the market with it. Amazon followed a couple years later.”
Patrick Byrne Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:48 a16z Podcast | Wall Street's Most Hated Man -- A Conversation With Overstock.com's Patrick Byrne
Assertion Contradicted
WSJ named Patrick Byrne among five people who foresaw the 2008 crisis
“The Wall Street Journal wrote a story at the end of a wait saying, okay, there were five guys who figured this out and, you know, Nassim Taleb and Patrick Byrne.”
Patrick Byrne Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:19 a16z Podcast | Wall Street's Most Hated Man -- A Conversation With Overstock.com's Patrick Byrne
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